中美在阿根廷激烈交锋,到底在博弈什么?(深度分析)
2022/3/9 gh_632d8e717867

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     冬奥期间,大国博弈也没歇着,围绕阿根廷和拉美的交锋正激烈。

     这几天,阿根廷上了网络热搜,阿总统瞻仰毛主席纪念堂、中阿“一带一路”、中国支持阿对马岛的主权诉求、“巴铁”之后可能有“阿铁”、在美国后院打下一个楔子等等,都是热议话题。

     那么,中美在阿根廷和拉美到底在博弈什么?除了一带一路和资源、粮食等等,还有哪些深层次的东西?对中、美、拉美三方各自意味着什么?这些问题很重大,值得好好说说。

     回答这些问题之前,我觉得有必要先了解一下美帝是如何收割、祸害阿根廷的,因为美帝经济殖民拉美的方式,就是它打算经济殖民世界的方式——只不过它还没有成功而已。了解这些背景后,才能明白今天中国是如何针锋相对、如何对症下药的。

     文章略长,开头部分可能有点枯燥,但知识点很多,信息量很大,耐心读完,您会有新的认识和收获。

     美国经济殖民阿根廷的理论是:新自由主义经济学。

     新自由主义经济学的核心有四点:私有化、自由化、市场化和全球化。

     第一,所有行业全部采取私有制,没有集体经济和国企——私有化;

     第二,政府不过多干预经济发展,只做“守夜人”——自由化;

     第三,所有行业无须保护,大家在市场上公平竞争——市场化;

     第四,世界各国都应该采取上述三点——全球化。

     看到这四点,大家是不是觉得非常熟悉了?

     前些年,一些所谓的经济学家、资本家不断鼓吹的不就是这些吗?他们整天喊着国企腐败、竞争力弱,要求对私人开放一切行业,比如石油、银行等;他们整天喊着政府管的太多了,经济问题就应该交给市场;他们极力鼓吹取消一切关税……

     阿根廷就是因为喝下了美国所谓的“新自由主义经济”的毒药,从而被美国资本实现了经济殖民。

     那么美帝到底是如何操作的呢?

     美帝经济殖民阿根廷的整个过程非常的严密,它充分利用了阿根廷现实中存在的各种问题,一步步把阿根廷引进了自己精心设计的陷阱里面……

     在两次世界大战的过程中,欧洲大量资本(包括资金、技术和人才等)不断的向美国转移,让美国在极短的时间内就成了一个超级大国,经济实力、科技实力非常强大……

     这个时候,世界上很多国家都希望美国到它们的国家投资,由此来带动本国的经济发展,提高人民的生活质量……

     比如,阿根廷国内也有很多的铁矿,但是它的冶铁技术比较落后,所以它希望美国先进的钢铁企业能够投资它——美国的钢铁企业在阿根廷投资肯定要雇佣大量阿根廷人吧(如果所有工人都从美国带过去,成本就太高了),那么那些阿根廷人慢慢的就会把美国企业的管理制度、操作流程、一些关键技术都学会了,而那些东西都是美国企业长时间摸索出来的,能让阿根廷人少走很多的弯路,节约大量的时间、金钱……

     阿根廷非常希望美国先进的钢铁公司投资本国,但是美国的企业肯定也有自己的担心:如果我到你们的国家投资,你们把我们的一些技术、经验都学去了,然后通过政府干预,采取不公平的手段把我搞垮台怎么办?

     比如,阿根廷也有自己的钢铁厂,但是由于管理制度、技术等比较落后,生产一吨钢铁的成本要3000元,而美国的企业生产一吨钢铁只要2000元。一些阿根廷人在美国的钢铁厂工作,学到了一些管理制度和技术,然后阿根廷的钢铁厂就高价把他们挖过来,这样阿根廷的钢铁厂就把成本控制到2500元……

     这个时候,阿根廷的钢铁厂和美国企业的钢铁厂差距已经不大了,阿根廷人肯定不想再让美国的企业在自己国家赚钱了,这个时候如何才能把美国的钢铁厂挤走呢?

     对的,阿根廷政府对阿根廷的钢铁企业进行补贴。

     以前,阿根廷政府对阿根廷的钢铁厂和美国投资的钢铁厂都收同样的税,假设每吨收1000元的税,这个时候阿根廷政府为了把美国钢铁厂挤出去就不收本国钢铁企业的税了——我先收本国钢铁企业1000元的税,然后年底再给本国钢铁厂补贴1000元,等于没有收本国企业的税。

     这样一来,阿根廷钢铁厂生产的钢铁在价格上立刻就有非常大的优势,美国的钢铁厂肯定竞争不过它,它只能退出阿根廷,这样阿根廷人就既能在最短的时间内获得先进的管理制度、理念和先进的技术,还能不被美国企业剥削。

     美国的企业也不傻啊,它也害怕出现这种事啊!

     怎么办呢?

     这个时候,美国政府就和阿根廷政府说:如果你想要我们的钢铁厂到你们国家投资,你必须要保证同等对待我们的企业,不能通过补贴等方式搞我们的企业,否则我们就不去你们国家投资。

     由于这个时候阿根廷国内的冶铁技术非常落后,国内拥有大量铁矿,但是却没有技术和能力大量制造钢材,只能眼睁睁的看着大量的铁矿堆在家里而无法利用……阿根廷政府只能答应美国的条件。

     这个时候,美国政府就对阿根廷政府说,口说无凭,我们必须要签订合约。

     这个合约就是:ISDS条款。

     什么叫做ISDS条款?

     所谓的ISDS条款就是指:投资者与国家争端解决机制条款。

     这个机制的核心是什么?

     由秘密法庭来裁决投资者和国家之间的争端。

     这又是什么意思?

     如果美国的钢铁厂到阿根廷投资了,阿根廷政府为了让阿根廷的钢铁厂在竞争中获得优势,对阿根廷的钢铁厂进行补贴等,让美国企业的利益受损,那么美国企业可以要求阿根廷政府赔偿其损失。

     大家看看这个过程,您觉得美国政府提出的要求合不合理?

     表面上看,美国政府提出的这个要求是完全合情合理的,但是事实上这个要求却是非常不合理的。

     为什么这么说?

     阿根廷的想法是非常好的,通过引进美国钢铁厂开发自己国家巨量的铁矿,同时能学到先进的管理制度、经验和技术,从而带动本国钢铁企业的发展。但在实际操作过程中并不会像阿根廷政府想象的那么美好。

     由于美国企业的技术比较先进,他们到阿根廷投资以后,利用自己的优势通过价格战,不断打败阿根廷的钢铁厂,最终导致阿根廷本土钢铁厂大量倒闭,让美国企业控制了整个钢铁产业。

     阿根廷钢铁厂技术虽然落后,但是它能养活很多人啊,大量钢铁厂倒闭必然会导致整个社会高度不稳定,所以最终阿根廷政府不得不救助那些本国钢铁厂!

     阿根廷政府一出手,美国人立刻就出来了:本来说好的,政府不干预的,现在你给你们的钢铁厂各种补贴和支持,这严重伤害到我们企业的利益,阿根廷政府必须赔偿我们的损失!

     这个时候,美国企业就向秘密法庭提起诉讼,要求阿根廷政府赔偿美国企业的损失,阿根廷政府败诉则成了必然——阿根廷政府必须要赔偿美国企业巨额损失。

     1990年代,阿根廷总统梅内姆实行新自由主义经济政策,全力引进外商投资。在其任内,阿根廷签署了55个双边投资协定,并加入ICSID(国际投资争端解决中心)。

     2001年阿根廷经济崩溃、社会失序,新政府颁布《公共紧急状态法》并出台一系列紧急经济救助政策。许多外国投资者以紧急政策侵犯自己利益为由,通过各类平台对阿根廷政府提起诉讼,其中通过ICSID的总诉讼数量就达到43个,使得阿根廷成为在ICSID被诉讼数量最多的国家,涉及赔偿总额800多亿美元,而2002年阿根廷全年GDP仅为1020亿美元。

     如此多的赔偿,阿根廷政府根本赔不起!

     这个时候,肯定有人会说:赔不起就不赔了,你能怎么地?

     事实上,阿根廷政府还真这么做过,拒绝赔偿!

     但是,你以为美国人的帐是那么好赖的?

     赖账?你阿根廷军舰要不要在海上开了?只要你出海,那么美国政府就能凭借强大的海军力量直接扣押了你的军舰!然后,再对你各种经济制裁了,让其它任何国家都不敢和你做生意,进口和出口全部中断!

     阿根廷政府赖账一次以后,被美国狠狠得收拾一番以后,没有办法只能投降,只能承诺会偿还美国企业的赔偿!

     但是,阿根廷政府没钱还怎么办?

     这个时候,国际货币基金组织IMF粉墨登场:找我借钱啊,我有钱,而且利息很低!

    

     国际货币基金组织的钱那么好借?

     如果你那么想,你就太天真了:一旦你从国际货币基金组织借钱了,那么你就陷进美国给你设计的另一个坑里面去了。

     从国际货币基金组织贷款的利息确实是非常的低、非常划算,但是这个钱不是那么容易借的:在你借钱的时候,它会给你提出一系列的要求。比如,要求你对其它国家开放更多的市场、降低更多的关税……

     这不就成了一个恶性循环了吗?

     原本阿根廷想引进美国钢铁厂发展本国钢铁产业,结果阿根廷本土钢铁厂被美国钢铁厂打败,阿根廷政府补贴本国钢铁厂后遭到巨额索赔;为了赔偿美国企业的损失,从国际货币基金组织贷款,又对美国企业开放了煤炭、银行、航空、电力……最终导致阿根廷所有产业都被美国资本给控制了!

     最关键的是:阿根廷政府一旦借了国际货币基金组织的钱后,那么想要赖账的难度就更大了。

     为什么?

     因为国际货币基金组织不是一个国家成立的,里面有很多成员国——你可以把国际货币基金组织当成是一个银行,这个银行主要是由美、日、德、法、英等五个国家共同出资建立的(后来中国、俄罗斯和沙特也加入了),但是美国的份额却是最大的,美国的说话权自然也很大。

     原本阿根廷政府是欠美国企业的钱,但是为了还债不得不从国际货币基金组织借钱,然后就变成了欠美国、日本、德国、法国等那么多国家的钱,你说这个赖账难度有多大?

    

     美国为什么在世界不断的鼓吹“新自由市场经济”啊?

     对的,它就是希望依靠自己的资金优势和技术优势,通过上面那种方式经济殖民全世界——就像控制阿根廷一样!

     阿根廷喝了美国为其精心准备的“毒药”,但是其它国家并不傻!

     比如,美国想和欧盟建立的TTIP(跨大西洋贸易与投资伙伴协议)就被欧洲人给拒绝了,直到现在也没有进一步发展。

     别留念昨天了,把握好今天吧。(Will Rogers) 170. If you are not brave enough, no one will back you up. 你不勇敢,没人替你坚强。171. If you don't build your dream, someone will hire you to build theirs. 如果你没有梦想,那么你只能为别人的梦想打工。172. Beauty is all around, if you just open your heart to see. 只要你给自己机会,你会发现你的世界可以很美丽。173. The difference in winning and losing is most often...not quitting. 赢与输的差别通常是--不放弃。(华特·迪士尼) 174. I am ordinary yet unique. 我很平凡,但我独一无二。175. I like people who make me laugh in spite of myself. 我喜欢那些让我笑起来的人,就算是我不想笑的时候。176. Image a new story for your life and start living it. 为你的生命想一个全新剧本,并去倾情出演吧!177. I'd rather be a happy fool than a sad sage. 做个悲伤的智者,不如做个开心的傻子。178. The future belongs to those who believe in the beauty of their dreams. 未来属于那些相信梦想之美的人。(埃莉诺·罗斯福) 179. Even if you get no applause, you should accept a curtain call gracefully and appreciate your own efforts. 即使没有人为你鼓掌,也要优雅的谢幕,感谢自己的认真付出。180. Don't let dream just be your dream. 别让梦想只停留在梦里。181. A day without laughter is a day wasted. 没有笑声的一天是浪费了的一天。(卓别林) 182. Travel and see the world; afterwards, you will be able to put your concerns in perspective. 去旅行吧,见的世面多了,你会发现原来在意的那些结根本算不了什么。183. The key to acquiring proficiency in any task is repetition. 任何事情成功关键都是熟能生巧。《生活大爆炸》 184. You can be happy no matter what. 开心一点吧,管它会怎样。185. A good plan today is better than a perfect plan tomorrow. 今天的好计划胜过明天的完美计划。186. Nothing is impossible, the word itself says 'I'm possible'! 一切皆有可能!“不可能”的意思是:“不,可能。”(奥黛丽·赫本) 187. Life isn't fair, but no matter your circumstances, you have to give it your all. 生活是不公平的,不管你的境遇如何,你只能全力以赴。188. No matter how hard it is, just keep going because you only fail when you give up. 无论多么艰难,都要继续前进,因为只有你放弃的那一刻,你才输了。 When Paul Jobs was mustered out of the Coast Guard after World War II, he made a wager with his crewmates. They had arrived in San Francisco, where their ship was decommissioned, and Paul bet that he would find himself a wife within two weeks. He was a taut, tattooed engine mechanic, six feet tall, with a passing resemblance to James Dean. But it wasn’t his looks that got him a date with Clara Hagopian, a sweet-humored daughter of Armenian immigrants. It was the fact that he and his friends had a car, unlike the group she had originally planned to go out with that evening. Ten days later, in March 1946, Paul got engaged to Clara and won his wager. It would turn out to be a happy marriage, one that lasted until death parted them more than forty years later. Paul Reinhold Jobs had been raised on a dairy farm in Germantown, Wisconsin. Even though his father was an alcoholic and sometimes abusive, Paul ended up with a gentle and calm disposition under his leathery exterior. After dropping out of high school, he wandered through the Midwest picking up work as a mechanic until, at age nineteen, he joined the Coast Guard, even though he didn’t know how to swim. He was deployed on the USS General M. C. Meigs and spent much of the war ferrying troops to Italy for General Patton. His talent as a machinist and fireman earned him commendations, but he occasionally found himself in minor trouble and never rose above the rank of seaman. Clara was born in New Jersey, where her parents had landed after fleeing the Turks in Armenia, and they moved to the Mission District of San Francisco when she was a child. She had a secret that she rarely mentioned to anyone: She had been married before, but her husband had been killed in the war. So when she met Paul Jobs on that first date, she was primed to start a new life. Clara, however, loved San Francisco, and in 1952 she convinced her husband to move back there. They got an apartment in the Sunset District facing the Pacific, just south of Golden Gate Park, and he took a job working for a finance company as a “repo man,” picking the locks of cars whose owners hadn’t paid their loans and repossessing them. He also bought, repaired, and sold some of the cars, making a decent enough living in the process. There was, however, something missing in their lives. They wanted children, but Clara had suffered an ectopic pregnancy, in which the fertilized egg was implanted in a fallopian tube rather than the uterus, and she had been unable to have any. So by 1955, after nine years of marriage, they were looking to adopt a child. Like Paul Jobs, Joanne Schieble was from a rural Wisconsin family of German heritage. Her father, Arthur Schieble, had immigrated to the outskirts of Green Bay, where he and his wife owned a mink farm and dabbled successfully in various other businesses, including real estate and photoengraving. He was very strict, especially regarding his daughter’s relationships, and he had strongly disapproved of her first love, an artist who was not a Catholic. Thus it was no surprise that he threatened to cut Joanne off completely when, as a graduate student at the University of Wisconsin, she fell in love with Abdulfattah “John” Jandali, a Muslim teaching assistant from Syria. Jandali was the youngest of nine children in a prominent Syrian family. His father owned oil refineries and multiple other businesses, with large holdings in Damascus and Homs, and at one point pretty much controlled the price of wheat in the region. His mothe凝固的熔岩流。火星上常常有猛烈的大风,大风扬起沙尘能形成可以覆盖火星全球的特大型沙尘暴。每次沙尘暴可持续数个星期。火星两极的冰冠和火星大气中含有水份。从火星表面获得的探测数据证明,在远古时期,火星曾经有过液态的水,而且水量特别大。[51] 土星是离太阳第六颗行星,直径120536㎞,体积仅次于木星。主要由氢组成,还有少量的氦与微量元素,内部的核心包括岩石和冰,外围由数层金属氢和气体包裹着。地球距离土星13亿公里。土星的引力比地球强2.5倍,能够牵引太阳系内其它行星,使地球处于一个椭圆轨道中运行,并且与太阳保持适当距离,适宜生命繁衍。当土星轨道倾斜20度将使地球轨道比金星轨道更接近太阳,同时,这将导致火星完全离开太阳系。[52] 土星是已知唯一密度小于水的行星,假如能够将土星放入一个巨大的浴池之中,它将可以漂浮起来。土星有一个巨大的磁气圈和一个狂风肆虐的大气层,赤道附近的风速可达1800千米/时。在环绕土星运行的31颗卫星中间,土卫六是最大的一颗,比水星和月球还大,也是太阳系中唯一拥有浓厚大气层的卫星。[53] 天王星是离太阳第七颗行星,51118km。体积约为地球的65倍,在九大行星中仅次于木星和土星。天王星的大气层中83%是氢,15%为氦,2%为甲烷以及少量的乙炔和碳氢化合物。上层大气层的甲烷吸收红光,使天王星呈现蓝绿色。大气在固定纬度集结成云层,类似于木星和土星在纬线上鲜艳的条状色带。天王星云层的平均温度为零下193摄氏度。质量为8.6810±13×102?kg,相当于地球质量的14.63倍。密度较小,只有1.24克/立方厘米,为海王星密度值的74.7%。[54] 恒星 恒星 海王星是离太阳的第八颗行星,直径49532千米。海王星绕太阳运转的轨道半径为45亿千米,公转一周需要165年。海王星的直径和天王星类似,质量比天王星略大一些。海王星和天王星的主要大气成分都是氢和氦,内部结构也极为相近,所以说海王星与天王星是一对孪生兄弟。[55] 海王星有太阳系最强烈的风,测量到的时速高达2100公里。海王星云顶的温度是-218 °C,是太阳系最冷的地区之一。海王星核心的温度约为7000 °C,可以和太阳的表面比较。海王星在1846年9月23日被发现,是唯一利用数学预测而非有计划的观测发现的行星。[56] 冥王星,位于海王星以外的柯伊伯带内侧,是柯伊伯带中已知的最大天体。[57] 直径约为2370±20km,是地球直径的18.5%。[58] 2006年8月24日,国际天文学联合会大会24日投票决定,不再将传统九大行星之一的冥王星视为行星,而将其列入“矮行星”。大会通过的决议规定,“行星”指的是围绕太阳运转、自身引力足以克服其刚体力而使天体呈圆球状、能够清除其轨道附近其他物体的天体。在太阳系传统的“九大行星”中,只有水星、金星、地球、火星、木星、土星、天王星和海王星符合这些要求。冥王星由于其轨道与海王星的轨道相交,不符合新的行星定义,因此被自动降级为“矮行星”。[59] 冥王星的表面温度大概在-238到-228℃之间。冥王星的成份由70%岩石和30%冰水混合而成的。地表上光亮的部分可能覆盖着一些固体氮以及少量 卫星拍月球经过地球,可见清晰月球背面 卫星拍月球经过地球,可见清晰月球背面 [60] 的固体甲烷和一氧化碳,冥王星表面的黑暗部分可能是一些基本的有机物质或是由宇宙射线引发的光化学反应。冥王星的大气层主要由氮和少量的一氧化碳及甲烷组成。大气极其稀薄,地面压强只有少量微帕。[61] 地球是离太阳第三颗行星,是我们人类的家乡,尽管地球是太阳系中一颗普通的行星,但它在许多方面都是独一无二的。比如,它是太阳系中唯一一颗面积大部分被水覆盖的行星,也是目前所知唯一一颗有生命存在的星球。质量M=5.9742 ×10^24 公斤,表面温度:t = - 30 ~ +45。[62] 英国科研人员在《天体生物学》杂志上报告说,如果没有小行星撞击等可能剧烈改变环境的事件发生,地球适宜人类居住的时间还剩约17.5亿年,不过人为造成的气候变化可能缩短这一时间。[63] 彗星是由灰尘和冰块组成的太阳系中的一类小天体,绕日运动。[64] 科学家使用探测器对彗星的化学遗留物进行分析,发现其主要成份为氨、甲烷、硫化氢、氰化氢和甲醛。科学家得出结论称,彗星的气味闻起来像是臭鸡蛋、马尿、酒精和苦杏仁的气味综合。[65-66] “67P/楚留莫夫-格拉希门克”彗星 “67P/楚留莫夫-格拉希门克”彗星 [67] 在太阳系的周围还包裹着一个庞大的“奥尔特云”。星云内分布着不计其数的冰块、雪团和碎石。其中的某些会受太阳引力影响飞入内太阳系,这学说,在原有的轨道(或称小天体轨道)上又增加了更多的天体运行轨道。这一模式称每颗行星都沿着一个小轨道作圆周运行,而小轨道又沿着该行星的大轨道绕地球作圆周运动。几百年之后,这一模式的漏洞越来越明显。科学家们又在这个模式上增加了许多轨道,行星就这样沿着一道又一道的轨道作圆周运动。哥白尼想用“现代”(16世纪的)技术来改进托勒密的测量结果,以期取消一些小轨道。在长达近20年的时间里,哥白尼不辞辛劳日夜测量行星的位置,但其测量获得的结果仍然与托勒密的天体运行模式没有多少差别。哥白尼想知道在另一个运行着的行星上观察这些行星的运行情况会是什么样的。基于这种设想,哥白尼萌发了一个念头:假如地球在运行中,那么这些行星的运行看上去会是什么情况呢?这一设想在他脑海里变得清晰起来了。一年里,哥白尼在不同的时间、不同的距离从地球上观察行星,每一个行星的情况都不相同,这是他意识到地球不可能位于星星轨道的中心。经过20年的观测,哥白尼发现唯独太阳的周年变化不明显。这意味着地球和太阳的距离始终没有改变。如果地球不是宇宙的中心,那么宇宙的中心就是太阳。的发现才使牛顿有能力确定运动定律和万有引力定律。哥白尼的日心宇宙体系既然是时代的产物,它就不能不受到时代的限制。反对神学的不彻底性,同时表现在哥白尼的某些观点上,他的体系是存在缺陷的。哥白尼所指的宇宙是局限在一个小的范围内的,具体来说,他的宇宙结构就是今天我们所熟知的太阳系,即以太阳为中心的天体系统。宇宙既然有它的中心,就必须有它的边界,哥白尼虽然否定了托勒玫的“九重天”,但他却保留了一层恒星天,尽管他回避了宇宙是否有限这个问题,但实际上他是相信恒星天球是宇宙的“外壳”,他仍然相信天体只能按照所谓完美的圆形轨道运动,所以哥白尼的宇宙体系,仍然包含着不动的中心天体。但是作为近代自然科学的奠基人,哥白尼的历史功绩是伟大的。确认地球不是宇宙的中心,而是行星之一,从而掀起了一场天文学上根本性的革命,是人类探求客观真理道路上的里程碑。哥白尼的伟大成就,不仅铺平了通向近代天文学的道路,而且开创了整个自然界科学向前迈进的新时代。从哥白尼时代起,脱离教会束缚的自然科学和哲学开始获得飞跃的发展。哥白尼的科学成就,是他所处时代的产物,又转过来推动了时代的发展。顺应时代变化 十五、六世纪的欧洲,正是从封建社会向资本主义社会转变的关键时期,在这一二百年间,社会发生了巨大的变化。14世纪ndali soon after. She held out hope, she would later tell family members, sometimes tearing up at the memory, that once they were married, she could get their 别让梦想只停留在梦里。181. A day without laughter is a day wasted. 没有笑声的一天是浪费了的一天。(卓别林) 182. Travel and see the world; afterwards, you will be able to put your concerns in perspective. 去旅行吧,见的世面多了,你会发现原来在意的那些结根本算不了什么。183. The key to acquiring proficiency in any task is repetition. 任何事情成功关键都是熟能生巧。《生活大爆炸》 184. You can be happy no matter what. 开心一点吧,管它会怎样。baby boy back. Arthur Schieble died in August 1955, after the adoption was finalized. Just after Christmas that year, Joanne and Abdulfattah were married in St. Philip the Apostle Catholic Church in Green Bay. He got his PhD in international politics the next year, and then they had another child, a girl named Mona. After she and Jandali divorced in 1962, Joanne embarked on a dreamy and peripatetic life that her daughter, who grew up to become the acclaimed novelist Mona Simpson, would capture in her book Anywhere but Here. Because Steve’s adoption had been closed, it would be twenty years before they would all find each other. Steve Jobs knew from an early age that he was adopted. “My parents were very open with me about that,” he recalled. He had a vivid memory of sitting on the lawn of his house, when he was six or seven years old, telling the girl who lived across the street. “So does that mean your real parents didn’t want you?” the girl asked. “Lightning bolts went off in my head,” according to Jobs. “I remember running into the house, crying. And my parents said, ‘No, you have to understand.’ They were very serious and looked me straight in the eye. They said, ‘We specifically picked you out.’ Both of my parents said that and repeated it slowly for me. And they put an emphasis on every word in that sentence.” Abandoned. Chosen. Special. Those concepts became part of who Jobs was and how he regarded himself. His closest friends think that the knowledge that he was given up at birth left some scars. “I think his desire for complete control of whatever he makes derives directly from his personality and the fact that he was abandoned at birth,” said one longtime colleague, Del Yocam. “He wants to control his environment, and he sees the product as an extension of himself.” Greg Calhoun, who became close to Jobs right after college, saw another effect. “Steve talked to me a lot about being abandoned and the pain that caused,” he said. “It made him independent. He followed the beat of a different drummer, and that came from being in a different world than he was born into.” Later in life, when he was the same age his biological father had been when he abandoned him, Jobs would father and abandon a child of his own. (He eventually took responsibility for her.) Chrisann Brennan, the mother of that child, said that being put up for adoption left Jobs “full of broken glass,” and it helps to explain some of his behavior. “He who is abandoned is an abandoner,” she said. Andy Hertzfeld, who worked with Jobs at Apple in the early 1980s, is among the few who remained close to both Brennan and Jobs. “The key question about Steve is why he can’t control himself at times from being so reflexively cruel and harmful to some people,” he said. “That goes back to being abandoned at birth. The real underlying problem was the theme of abandonment in Steve’s life.” Jobs dismissed this. “There’s some notion that because I was abandoned, I worked very hard so I could do well and make my parents wish they had me back, or some such nonsense, but that’s ridiculous,” he insisted. “Knowing I was adopted may have made me feel more independent, but I have never felt abandoned. I’ve always felt special. My parents made me feel special.” He would later bristle whenever anyone referred to Paul and Clara Jobs as his “adoptive” parents or implied that they were not his “real” parents. “They were my parents 1,000%,” he said. When speaking about his biological parents, on the other hand, he was curt: “They were my sperm and egg bank. That’s not harsh, it’s just the way it was, a sperm bank thing, nothing more.” Silicon Valley The childhood that Paul and Clara Jobs created for their new son was, in many ways, a stereotype of the late 1950s. When Steve was two they adopted a girl they named Patty, and three years later they moved to a tract house in the suburbs. The finance company where Paul worked as a repo man, CIT, had transferred him down to its Palo Alto office, but he could not afford to live there, so they landed in a subdivision in Mountain View, a less expensive town just to the south. There Paul tried to pass along his love of mechanics and cars. “Steve, this is your workbench now,” he said as he marked off a section of the table in their garage. Jobs remembered being impressed by his father’s focus on craftsmanship. “I thought my dad’s sense of design was pretty good,” he said, “because he knew how to build anything. If we needed a cabinet, he would build it. When he built our fence, he gave me a hammer so I could work with him.” Fifty years later the fence still surrounds the back and side yards of the house in Mountain View. As Jobs showed it off to me, he caressed the stockade panels and recalled a lesson that his father implanted deeply in him. It was important, his father said, to craft the backs of cabinets and fences properly, even though they were hidden. “He loved doing things right. He even cared about the look of the parts you couldn’t see.” His father continued to refurbish and resell used cars, and he festooned the garage with pictures of his favorites. He would point out the detailing of the design to his son: the lines, the vents, the chrome, the trim of the seats. After work each day, he would change into his dungarees and retreat to the garage, often with Steve tagging along. “I figured I could get him nailed down with a little mechanical ability, but he really wasn’t interested in getting his hands dirty,” Paul later recalled. “He never really cared too much about m189. It requires hard work to give off an appearance of effortlessness. 你必须十分努力,才能看起来毫不费力。190. Life is like riding a bicycle.To keep your balance,you must keep moving. 人生就像骑单车,只有不断前进,才能保持平衡。(爱因斯坦) 191. Be thankful for what you have.You'll end up having more. 拥有一颗感恩的心,最终你会得到更多。192. Beauty is how you feel inside, and it reflects in your eyes. 美是一种内心的感觉,并反映在你的眼睛里。(索菲亚·罗兰) 193. Friendship doubles your joys, and divides your sorrows. 朋友的作用,就是让你快乐加倍,痛苦减半。194. When you long for something sincerely, the whole world will help you. 当你真心渴望某样东西时,整个宇宙都会来帮忙。echanical things.” “I wasn’t that into fixing cars,” Jobs admitted. “But I was eager to hang out with my dad.” Even as he was growing more aware that he had been adopted, he was becoming more attached to his father. One day when he was about eight, he discovered a photograph of his father from his time in the Coast Guard. “He’s in the engine room, and he’s got his shirt off and looks like James Dean. It was one of those Oh wow moments for a kid. Wow, oooh, my parents were actually once very young and really good-looking.” Through cars, his father gave Steve his first exposure to electronics. “My dad did not have a deep understanding of electronics, but he’d encountered it a lot in automobiles and other things he would fix. He showed me the rudiments of electronics, and I got very interested in that.” Even more interesting were the trips to scavenge for parts. “Every weekend, there’d be a junkyard trip. We’d be looking for a generator, a carburetor, all sorts of components.” He remembered watching his father negotiate at the counter. “He was a good bargainer, because he knew better than the guys at the counter what the parts should cost.” This helped fulfill the pledge his parents made when he was adopted. “My college fund came from my dad paying $50 for a Ford Falcon or some other beat-up car that didn’t run, working on it for a few weeks, and selling it for $250—and not telling the IRS.” The Jobses’ house and the others in their neighborhood were built by the real estate developer Joseph Eichler, whose company spawned more than eleven thousand homes in various California subdivisions between 1950 and 1974. Inspired by Frank Lloyd Wright’s vision of simple modern homes for the American “everyman,” Eichler built inexpensive houses that featured floor-to-ceiling glass walls, open floor plans, exposed post-and-beam construction, concrete slab floors, and lots of sliding glass doors. “Eichler did a great thing,” Jobs said on one of our walks around the neighborhood. “His houses were smart and cheap and good. They brought clean design and simple taste to lower-income people. They had awesome little features, like radiant heating in the floors. You put carpet on them, and we had nice toasty floors when we were kids.” Jobs said that his appreciation for Eichler homes instilled in him a passion for making nicely designed products for the mass market. “I love it when you can bring really great design and simple capability to something that doesn’t cost much,” he said as he pointed out the clean elegance of the houses. “It was the original vision for Apple. That’s what we tried to do with the first Mac. That’s what we did with the iPod.” Across the street from the Jobs family lived a man who had become successful as a real estate agent. “He wasn’t that bright,” Jobs recalled, “but he seemed to be making a fortune. So my dad thought, ‘I can do that.’ He worked so hard, I remember. He took these night classes, passed the license test, and got into real estate. Then the bottom fell out of the market.” As a result, the family found itself financially strapped for a year or so while Steve was in elementary school. His mother took a job as a bookkeeper for Varian Associates, a company that made scientific instruments, and they took out a second mortgage. One day his fourth-grade teacher asked him, “What is it you don’t understand about the universe?” Jobs replied, “I don’t understand why all of a sudden my dad is so broke.” He was proud that his father never adopted a servile attitude or slick style that may have made him a better salesman. “You had to suck up to people to sell real estate, and he wasn’t good at that and it wasn’t in his nature. I admired him for that.” Paul Jobs went back to being a mechanic. His father was calm and gentle, traits that his son later praised more than emulated. He was also resolute. Jobs described one exampl What made the neighborhood different from the thousands of other spindly-tree subdivisions across America was that even the ne’er-do-wells tended to be engineers. “When we moved here, there were apricot and plum orchards on all of these corners,” Jobs recalled. “But it was beginning to boom because of military investment.” He soaked up the history of the valley and developed a yearning to play his own role. Edwin Land of Polaroid later told him about being asked by Eisenhower to help build the U-2 spy plane cameras to see how real the Soviet threat was. The film was dropped in canisters and returned to the NASA Ames Research Center in Sunnyvale, not far from where Jobs lived. “The first computer terminal I ever saw was when my dad brought me to the Ames Center,” he said. “I fell totally in love with it.” Other defense contractors sprouted nearby during the 1950s. The Lockheed Missiles and Space Division, which built submarine-launched ballistic missiles, was founded in 1956 next to the NASA Center; by the time Jobs moved to the area four years later, it employed twenty thousand people. A few hundred yards away, Westinghouse built facilities that produced tubes and electrical transformers for the missile systems. “You had all these military companies on the cutting edge,” he recalled. “It was mysterious and high-tech and made living here very exciting.” In the wake of the defense industries there arose a booming economy based on technology. Its roots stretched back to 1938, when David Packard and his new wife moved into a house in Palo Alto that had a shed where his friend Bill Hewlett was soon ensconced. The house had a garage—an appendage that would prove both useful and iconic in the valley—in which they tinkered around until they had their first product, an audio oscillator. By the 1950s, Hewlett-Packard was a fast-growing company making technical instruments. Fortunately there was a place nearby for entrepreneurs who had outgrown their garages. In a move that would help transform the area into the cradle of the tech revolution, Stanford University’s dean of engineering, Frederick Terman, created a seven-hundred-acre industrial park on university land for private companies that could commercialize the ideas of his students. Its first tenant was Varian Associates, where Clara Jobs worked. “Terman came up with this great idea that did more than anything to cause the tech industry to grow up here,” Jobs said. By the time Jobs was ten, HP had nine thousand employees and was the blue-chip company where every engineer seeking financial stability wanted to work. The most important technology for the region’s growth was, of course, the semiconductor. William Shockley, who had been one of the inventors of the transistor at Bell Labs in New Jersey, moved out to Mountain View and, in 1956, started a company to build transistors using silicon rather than the more expensive germanium that was then commonly used. But Shockley became increasingly erratic and abandoned his silicon transistor project, which led eight of his engineers—most notably Robert Noyce and Gordon Moore—to break away to form Fairchild Semiconductor. That company grew to twelve thousand employees, but it fragmented in 1968, when Noyce lost a power struggle to become CEO. He took Gordon Moore and founded a company that they called Integrated Electronics Corporation, which they soon smartly abbreviated to Intel. Their third employee was Andrew Grove, who later would grow the company by shifting its focus from memory chips to microprocessors. Within a few years there would be more than fifty companies in the area making semiconductors. The exponential growth of this industry was correlated with the phenomenon famously discovered by Moore, who in 1965 drew a graph of the speed of integrated circuits, based on the number of transistors that could be placed on a chip, and showed that it doubled about every two years, a trajectory that could be expected to continue. This was reaffirmed in 1971, when Intel was able to etch a complete central processing unit onto one chip, the Intel 4004, tronic amplifier. “So I raced home, and I told my dad that he was wrong.” “No, it needs an amplifier,” his father assured him. When Steve protested otherwise, his father said he was crazy. “It can’t work without an amplifier. There’s some trick.” “I kept saying no to my dad, telling him he had to see it, and finally he actually walked down with me and saw it. And he said, ‘Well I’ll be a bat out of hell.’” Jobs recalled the incident vividly because it was his first realization that his father did not know everything. Then a more disconcerting discovery began to dawn on him: He was smarter than his parents. He had always admired his father’s competence and savvy. “He was not an educated man, but I had always thought he was pretty damn smart. He didn’t read much, but he could do a lot. Almost everything mechanical, he could figure it out.” Yet the carbon microphone incident, Jobs said, began a jarring process of realizing that he was in fact more clever and quick than his parents. “It was a very big moment that’s burned into my mind. When I realized that I was smarter than my parents, I felt tremendous shame for having thought that. I will never forget that moment.” This discovery, he later told friends, along with the fact that he was adopted, made him feel apart—detached and separate—from both his family and the world. Another layer of awareness occurred soon after. Not only did he discover that he was brighter than his parents, but he discovered that they knew this. Paul and Clara Jobs were loving parents, and they were willing to adapt their lives to suit a son who was very smart—and also willful. They would go to great lengths to accommodate him. And soon Steve discovered this fact as well. “Both my parents got me. They felt a lot of responsibility once they sensed that I was special. They found ways to keep feeding me stuff and putting me in better schools. They were willing to defer to my needs.” So he grew up not only with a sense of having once been abandoned, but also with a sense that he was special. In his own mind, that was more important in the formation of his personality. School Even before Jobs started elementary school, his mother had taught him how to read. This, however, led to some problems once he got to school. “I was kind of bored for the first few years

     为什么?

     就是因为美国在这个协议中加入了超越国家主权的ISDS条款。

     事实上,不仅仅是阿根廷,几乎整个南美洲国家都陷入了美国为其精心设计的陷阱里了:那些国家的经济和金融体系全部被美国资本给控制了。

     那么,那些国家能摆脱美国资本的控制吗?

     它们的希望只有一个:中国!

     为什么会是中国?

     因为中国是这个世界上唯一能够对抗强大美国资本的国家:中国拥有全球最完善的工业体系,拥有所有的产业链,而且每个行业都不弱!

     比如,中国拥有强大的电力系统建造和设计能力、强大的钢铁产业、强大的航空业……这些企业都可以到阿根廷投资,从而打断美国资本对阿根廷的控制。

     最关键的是:中国的这些强大企业大多都是国企,而且我们秉承“合作共赢”的原则,而不像美国资本那样的贪婪!

     什么意思?

     比如,你们那地方有铁矿,但是你没有制造钢铁的技术和能力,美国人去了以后垄断了整个钢铁产业,利润都被它拿走了。我们的企业去了以后,采取合作的模式,有钱大家一起赚。

     中国给拉美国家带去先进的技术和管理经验,促进了它们的经济发展,提高了人民的生活水平,而且中国对那些国家进行投资的时候几乎没有添加任何政治附加条件,不干涉其内政!

     中国的这种理念是完全不同于西方国家的,也是西方国家很难理解的!

     现在美国又要开始收割阿根廷了!

     美联储即将进入加息模式,美国资本就会从阿根廷大量撤资,然后拿着大量阿根廷比索去挤兑美元;当大量美国资本拿着比索兑换美元,就会导致阿根廷的美元储备大量减少;阿根廷美元储备大量减少就导致阿根廷没有足够的美元到国际上购买生产生活必需的商品(美元是国际货币,到世界购买商品必须使用美元);阿根廷国内大量缺少生产生活必需的商品,商品价格就会大幅度上涨,形成严重的通货膨胀……最终导致阿根廷经济的整体崩溃!

     我们总说美国通货膨胀率达到7%就已经很吓人了,你知道阿根廷是多少吗?

     50%。

    

     这个时候,能救阿根廷的就只有中国了!

     中国如何救呢?

     方法不是唯一的,我们主要说两种:

     第一,加大对阿根廷的投资;

     由于我们有大量的外汇储备,而且有各种先进的技术,完全有能力对阿根廷进行大量投资。

     只要中国拿着大量美元去投资阿根廷,那么阿根廷就会拥有足够的美元来应对美国资本发动的金融战——就算美国资本从阿根廷全部撤资,也没有办法换光阿根廷银行里的美元——让阿根廷有足够的美元到国际上购买生产生活必需的商品。

     第二,中国和阿根廷继续开展货币互换;

     只要阿根廷和中国开展货币互换协议,阿根廷就能从中国获得大量人民币,然后它就可以拿着人民币到中国购买各种生产生活必需的商品,从而保证国内物价和经济的稳定。

     这次阿根廷总统借着冬奥会访问中国,最后达成一项联合声明,在《中阿联合声明》的十三、十四和十八条就谈到了这两点:

     十三、双方积极评价在和平利用核能方面开展的战略合作,重申该领域签署的相关政府间合作协议,鼓励开展核医学、放射性同位素及其他核技术领域的新项目。双方高度赞赏两国航天领域的良好合作,重申愿在2021—2025中阿航天合作大纲框架下继续加强合作。

     十四、双方还签署了绿色发展、数字经济、航天、北斗导航、科技创新、教育及大学合作、农业、地球科学、公共传媒、核医学等领域合作文件。为推动相互了解和友好交往,双方将继续推动包括维和与军事学术在内的防务、文化、教育、旅游和体育等各领域交流合作。

     绩效系统不够完善 在公司目前实施绩效管理过程中,对绩效计划、沟通关注度过低,而是过于看重绩效的实施和评价结果。部门经理在根据员工计划完成情况评分时,很少针对员工计划完成情况与员工沟通其工作中的优秀与不足。难以发挥绩效对业务的指导和管控作用,不利于部门和员工的整体提升,更会影响公司目标的最终有效实现。3.3.2 绩效指标不平衡 在公司绩效考核实践中,对销售指标、净利润率等财务结果指标关注较多, 而对如工程质量管理,品牌管理等非财务指标维度关注度较低。另外,在管理项目的绩效考核中,过于关注于项目实际的开发进度,而对企业要长久持续发展的基石,如部门和岗位的学习和发展等方面明显考虑较少。在2016年公司的绩效目标责任书里显示,只有三项指标占考核比重,分别是归属母公司净利润20%,签约额40%,项目开发关键节点完成率 20%。指标严重的不平衡会对公司的发展造成不平衡、不稳定的风险。3.3.3 指标设计与战略缺乏结合 丽泽公司是一家区域公司,在承担首创置业总部战略发展使命的同时,也需要考虑自身产品线的立足与发展。丽泽公司也在置业总部的战略规划下提出了自己的规划,明确了发展的方向。然而具体到考核指标设计上,却没用应用规划来设定平衡计分卡指标,转化为丽泽公司实际的目标。由表3.1可以看出,总部下达的目标责任书一般只关注股东价值,是通用性标准,未能结合实际情况全面反映丽泽公司自身发展需要。而在部门级和员工级层面上,只是根据部门和岗位职责,进行例行性工作规划,没有联系到战略实施相关工作中,从而导致部门和员工不了解自身工作是否和公司的战略目标相关。原因有两方面,一方面,丽泽公司没有按照自己的战略规划,提出适合自己的平衡计分卡,并根据按照平衡计分卡的指标,落实到具体的战略举措;另一方面,缺乏对指标分解动作,即把平衡计分卡分解到公司、部门和员工三个层级,导致各层级的工作缺乏具体指引,企业的战略目标与指标设计是脱节的,没有正确方向的指引,所以难以对战略起到促进作用。3.3.4 考核缺乏科学性 每月以及年底的时候,在部门负责人对员工进行绩效评价时,因为怕员工情绪受到打分影响,以主观感受进行评价较多,以至于对部门内员工的绩效评价不能呈现正态分布。导致优秀的员工得不到应有的肯定,影响工作积极性,未对绩效表现差的员工予以及时的提醒指导,难以有促进作用,影响组织和个人的绩效提升。3.3.5 考核结果形式化 绩效考核只有与奖金激励挂钩的情况下才可实施有效。然而丽泽公司的绩效考核成绩与月度绩效奖、年终奖金分配并未有效联系,几乎是两个相互独立的系统。薪资中20%的月绩效奖金形同虚设,在实际评定中,几乎默认为是基础薪资,年终奖金分配一般都是领导根据主观意愿分配,年终绩效考核结果仅仅作为普通参考。因此,奖金不能根据员工努力程度,工作完成程度来分配。绩效考核逐渐流于形式,考核结果缺乏对应的应用,所以越来越得不到员工重视。3.3.6 缺乏对管理者和员工的培训 缺乏对公司全员的进行有针对性的培训,所以对绩效考核的意义、方法、形式,以及对考核过程中沟通的要求,难以使双方对统一认识,这样容易导致无法正确处理绩效管理中出现的问题,绩效考核失去了原有的意义,绩效管理容易流于形式,越来越得不到重视。3.4 平衡计分卡在丽泽公司的适用性分析 3.4.1 实现公司战略目标的需求 根据对房地产行业以及丽泽公司现状情况的分析,可以看到丽泽公司已从快速成长期逐步发展至规范化运营或者成熟期,需要更多的考虑绩效如何适应公司长久发展,现阶段所面临的重要战略性目标就是完成经营财务指标,产品的高品质与学习成长,建立综合体业务管理体系,提升组织管理能力,但丽泽公司目前无法将绩效测评体系与企业战略目标紧密相连,不能将企业战略目标落实到具体的行动,以及无法适应公司发展的要求。根据前文对平衡计分卡的分析和了解,此方法恰好适用于现阶段的丽泽公司,对于支持公司项目的高效运营意义重大。3.4.2 完善的内部组织结构和高素质员工 图 3.1 为丽泽公司组织架构,正如前文所述,丽泽公司员工普遍学历较高, 基本都为本科以上学历,相对完善的组织架构,有助于战略目标的分解,整体学历较高的高素质员工,有助于对平衡计分卡的学习和使用,是对基于平衡计分卡的绩效体系高效实施的有力保证。3.4.3 对非财务指标的需求 就目前丽泽公司现有绩效评价方法来说,对评价指标的设计指导不够具体是一项严重的问题。因为财务指标在管控时往往比非财务指标更加便捷,所以容易被更多选择。然而仅仅是财务指标还不够,还需要部门、岗位的学习和发展等非财务指标,这些非财务指标是企业长期可续发展的重要支撑。而这些指标需要通过平衡计分卡来建立。才能实现从优秀到卓越的快速转变。第四章 丽泽公司绩效管理优化方案 4.1 设计思路概述 要形成基于平衡计分卡的绩效管理方案,首先要从对公司战略进行分析,绘制战略地图,并用平衡计分卡具体表现出来。对公司的绩效目标一般划分公司级目标、部门级目标和员工级目标22。根据公司战略,分解形成财务、客户、内部运营和学习成长四个维度指标,分析公司实现战略目标的关键因素,通过价值树和鱼骨图方法这些工具的使用,获得公司级的关键绩效目标;再结合部门实际工作,深入分析公司级关键绩效指标。确定主要业务影响因素之后,部门绩效目标可以通过具体的职能得到,最后再具体落实到人。分解具体思路如图4.1所示。点击浏览下一页 图4.1 目标分解 然后对整体绩效优化方案进行设计,包括:完善的绩效管理流程,使得丽泽公司绩效管理变成全流程管理,而不只是战略目标和绩效考核,并有利于公司战略的实施、明确过程监督引导机制;另外需要一定的保障措施,促使绩效管理持续改善,逐步提升公司运营效率[23]。4.2 首创置业丽泽公司战略解读 在首创置业最新版的组织管理手册中,对丽泽公司的定位为“丽泽公司作为首创置业综合体运作平台”。城市综合体项目开发不同于传统的住宅开发建设,其本质是各种资源载体的综合运作。从发展规模上来看,丽泽公司未来5年规划开发管理资产规模由200亿元到500亿元,土地开发上每年保持新增1-2块土地,通过对经历项目的总结沉淀,建立综合体标准管理体系,夯实运营基础,实现有质量增长,逐步发展为首创置业综合体事业部。为实现这个5年规划,公司制定了职能战略如下:营销战略:做好产品定位策划,综合体品牌宣传;进行有针对性的营销推广, 充分利用项目的重要时间节点,进行集中宣传;创新营销方法,拓展多模式的渠道。商业方面,根据不同的商业档次、特质定位,采取不同的租售方案和价格策略,抓准入市时机,根据市场调研和目标客户的需求划分租售面积和位置,实现商业面积高效利用。成本战略:进一步优化和固化目标成本,实现动态成本管控,加大战略集采力度,实施精益运营,持续降低成本。设计限额控制,建立产品设计标准,降低设计与建造成本。合理控制营销费用,深度挖掘内部资源,巧用置业总部、兄弟公司、战略伙伴等资源,不盲目高价推广,实现客户资源最大化利用。设计战略:产品的检验看客户,获取可有效指导设计和营销的客户洞见,修炼内功、匠心打造,提升产品溢价能力。实现供给侧到需求侧的转换,通过市场调研,目标客群深度访谈等方式了解客户真实需求,不求做自己心中最好的,而是客户心中最满意最想要的产品,“得客户者得天下”。着力于用标准化的流程打造出能够满足客户个性化需求的产品,产品精益求精,效率节节攀高。缩短设计开发周期,扩大项目规模。客户战略:客户满意度影响到与企业利润实现密切相关,客户管理中最重要的目标就是提高客户满意度。对于客户有投诉意见,及时高效处理解决。财务战略:加强风险管控,严密监测房地产市场变化,以稳健的财务结构支撑公司业务发展。同时希望能够借助综合体不同业态的综合运作拓展多元化盈利渠道,实现战略转型;通过多元灵活的资产处置手段,在项目各阶段实现高利润回报;经由项目的创新运作,积累资本市场、合作伙伴等多维度号召力。土地投资战略:土地投资拓展是企业保持长续经营的根本保证;加大力度获 取适合公司开发的土地,2017年要获取至少一块土地;此后每年至少持续获取两块,目标是要在 2020年在规模上实现真正的综合体事业部目标。工程建设战略:工程建设上应以质量安全为核心,严格把控关键节点,制定并落实主项计划与专项计划,形成综合体项目工期标准,在控制质量和安全的前提下尽量缩短工期,扩张建设规模,争取现今至2020年每年度都有新地块开工。人力资源战略:基于共享价值的文化,未来公司要在人才激励和人才培养两方面加大投入力度,进一步激发团队活力;研究和改进员工组织内部职业生涯体系,加强专业人才队伍建设;持续建立透明、公开、公正的工作评价机制。从2016年60人逐步扩充到2020年200人的规模。通过公司项目的实践,培养一批综合体项目建设的业务拿手,成为首创置业综合体的人才孵化器,作为优秀人才输出到首创置业各个项目。丽泽公司BSC采用的是四个维度体现公司战略的传统模式,四维度内容具体如下:财务维度:此维度包含股东内部收益率、归属于母公司净利润、股东自由现金年度总额、经营性净现金流,签约回款等。此维度由丽泽公司营销策划部和财务管理部主责。运营维度:以项目工程、设计、成本三大部门的管理目标战略为基础,确认三个战略中重要把控点,即项目计划节点情况、标准化成果应用率、成本差异率。此维度由设计管理部、项目部和成本管理部主责。客户维度:根据客户战略,确定客户满意度、忠诚度和投诉完结率为指标。营销策划部(与客户服务部统称为营销策划部)承担投诉完结率这一重要指标, 反映投诉处理效率。因客户满意度关系首创丽泽公司品牌与社会认可,让客户满意不仅仅是营销策划部的责任,更是公司各部门所有人的责任,同时首创置业总部每年会邀请第三方公司对各公司的的客户满意度进行调研,每个部门都要不同程度背负责任。学习和成长维度:丽泽公司为实现学习维度的成长,从外部邀请讲师培训和内部知识分享两个方面提供公司人员素质和能力水平。这部分工作由人力行政部主责。关于成长维度,丽泽公司以“土地储备完成率”为这一维度的重要指标,对于政府待拍地块,积极进行前期可行性研究,市场调研、营销定位、成本收益测算、财务指标测算等工作。4.3 绘制丽泽公司战略地图 (1)全面提高财务目标 置业总部下发的BSC中明确规定了丽泽公司的考核目标重点是签约收入和会计净利润,共同促进股东价值最大化。签约收入主要是以销售产品来实现,对产品去化效率的要求。利润来源于产品的销售回款及资金周转等因素。另外客户的对我们的满意度提高后,以后更容易主动购买产品,就可以提升销售效率。(2)以客户价值为核心 产品质量的好坏需要客户来评价,以客户价值为核心,首先要充分掌握客户的需求是什么,根据市场环境和科技进步不断创新吸引客户产品,使产品的效能能够满足各类客户生活需要。第二,要注重品牌推广,扩大项目知名度, 建立与客户的长期联系,提高项目品牌认可度。第三,在物业管理方面,务必及时高质量的处理客户需求,在交付使用前仔细检查维修预防可能出现的问题, 降低客户投诉率,可以在产品交付前组织开展项目业主开放日相关活动,提前暴露并解决问题,降低交付风险。(3)优化内部管理流程 房地产的开发价值链包括如图4.2所示九大模块,整个开发价值链由于涉及环节广泛,容易受外部环境政策牵制影响,且开发周期长,对企业资金投入和内部的管理要求都比较高。点击浏览下一页 图4.2 房地产开发价值链 上图显示,从房地产开发项目开发的时间轴来看,下面开始到后期利润贡献和风险逐步降低,经营风险在开发前期最大,对项目的利润贡献越高,在价值链中段,是整个项目周期设计工程质量和成本的重点管控阶段,其中包括项目整体的定位策划,设计和工程管理以及采购管理,以动态成本管理和项目质量管理为重点。在价值链后段,经营风险减小,但是却严重关乎着品牌价值和客户满意度,不容忽视,尤其客户服务方面,要重视客户满意度的管理和提升。因此,根据公司的战略目标,在内部运营管理维度方面上应有如下三个方面的改进: 1)了解客户对产品的诉求,提高产品设计的标准化和创新性,提高前置设 计的效率,加快设计进度,缩短开发周期。2) 成本直接相关于利润,提高成本管理水平,便于股东利润实现最大化, 丽泽公司旨在提高目标成本核算水平,严格把控项目各环节的招投标管理等。3)提高工期进度和工程质量的管控,设计阶段和施工阶段严格把关、加强监督,尽量减少设计变更和安全隐患等问题,以保证各工期节点的按时完成以及工程安全质量的保证。(4)内部学习能力和组织管理效率提升 人才素质对对企业组织发展起着关键性作用。只有公司人员整体素质较高, 拥有较强的学习能力,对新知识的掌握能力,才能跟上时代和科技进步的步伐, 创造出持续提升的管理业绩,促进企业良性发展。丽泽公司的学习成长指标主要为外部培训和内部知识分享以及企业文化活动。一个优秀组织的发展源于优秀团队的培养,优秀人才的储备和善用。由于地产行业开发节点差异化较大,不同阶段对于人才的提升和业绩的奖励差异较大,所以人员流动性较大,培养员工能力、强化员工归属感,增强人才储备是大势所趋。储备人才将成为职能部门核心骨干,承担公司战略目标实现的重任。点击浏览下一页 图4.3 首创置业丽泽公司战略地图 1、施工前,应对施工区域内存在的各种障碍物,如建筑物、道路、沟渠、管线、防空洞、旧基础、坟墓、树木等,凡影响施工的均应拆除、清理或迁移,并在施工前妥善处理,确保施工安全。2、大型土方和开挖较深的基坑工程,施工前要认真研究整个施工区域和施工场地内的工程地质和水文资料、邻近建筑物或构筑物的质量和分布状况、挖土和弃土要求、施工环境及气候条件等,编制专项施工组织设计(方案),制定有针对性的安全技术措施,严禁盲目施工。3、山区施工,应事先了解当地地形地貌、地质构造、地层岩性、水文地质等,如因土石方施工可能产生滑坡时,应采取可靠的安全技术措施。在陡峻山坡脚下施工,应事先检查山坡坡面情况,如有危岩、孤石、崩塌体、古滑坡体等不稳定迹象时,应妥善处理后,才能施工。4、施工机械进入施工现场所经过的道路、桥梁和卸车设备等,应事先做好检查和必要的加宽、加固工作。开工前应做好施工场地内机械运行的道路,开辟适当的工作面,以利安全施工。5、土方开挖前,应会同有关单位对附近已有建筑物或构筑物、道路、管线等进行检查和鉴定,对可能受开挖和降水影响的邻近建(构)筑物、管线,应制定相应的安全技术措施,并在整个施工期间,加强监测其沉降和位移、开裂等情况,发现问题应与设计或建设单位协商采取防护措施,并及时处理。相邻基坑深浅不等时,一般应按先深后浅的顺序施工,否则应分析后施工的深坑对先施工的浅坑可能产生的危害,并应采取必要的保护措施。6、基坑开挖工程应验算边坡或基坑的稳定性,并注意由于土体内应力场变化和淤泥土的塑性流动而导致周围土体向基坑开挖方向位移,使基坑邻近建筑物等产生相应的位移和下沉。验算时应考虑地面堆载、地表积水和邻近建筑物的影响等不利因素,决定是否需要支护,选择合理的支护形式。在基坑开挖期间应加强监测。7、在饱和粘性土、粉土的施工现场不得边打桩边开挖基坑,应待桩全部打完并间歇一段时间后再开挖,以免影响边坡或基坑的稳定性并应防止开挖基坑可能引起的基坑内外的桩产生过大位移、倾斜或断裂。8、基坑开挖后应及时修筑基础,不得长期暴露。基础施工完毕,应抓紧基坑的回填工作。回填基坑时,必须事先清除基坑中不符合回填要求的杂物。在相对的两侧或四周同时均匀进行,并且分层夯实。9、基坑开挖深度超过9m(或地下室超过二层),或深度虽未超过9m,但地质条件和周围环境复杂时,在施工过程中要加强监测,施工方案必须由单位总工程师审定,报企业上一级主管。10、基坑深度超过14m、地下室为三层或三层以上,地质条件和周围特别复杂及工程影响重大时,有关设计和施工方案,施工单位要协同建设单位组织评审后,报市建设行政主管部门备案。11、夜间施工时,应合理安排施工项目,防止挖方超挖或铺填超厚。施工现场应根据需要安设照明设施,在危险地段应设置红灯警示。12、土方工程、基坑工程在施工过程中,如发现有文物、古迹遗址或化石等,应立即保护现场和报请有关部门处理。13、挖土方前对周围环境要认真检查,不能在危险岩石或建筑物下面进行作业。14、人工开挖时,两人操作间距应保持2~3m,并应自上而下挖掘,严禁采用掏洞的挖掘操作方法。15、上下坑沟应先挖好阶梯或设木梯,不应踩踏土壁及其支撑上下。16、用挖土机施工时,挖土机的工作范围内,不得有人进行其他工作,多台机械开挖,挖土机间距大于l0rn,挖土要自上而下,逐层进行,严禁先挖坡脚的危险作业。17、基坑开挖应严格按要求放坡,操作时应随时注意边坡的稳定情况,如发现有裂纹或部分塌落现象,要及时进行支撑或改缓放坡,并注意支撑的稳固和边坡的变化。18、机械挖土,多台阶同时开挖土方时,应验算边坡的稳定,根据规定和验算确定挖土机离边坡的安全距离。19、深基坑四周设防护栏杆,人员上下要有专用爬梯。[2] 注意问题编辑 1、雨期施工应注意的问题 应当说,土方工程应尽量避开雨期施工,这样可以减少人工和物资的投入,同时也有利于保证工程质量。但是某些工程的土方工程仍然无法避免雨期施工,这样就构成了雨期施工时应注意的问题。 (1)在雨期施工前,应专门做出土方工程的雨期施工方案,在这个方案中应详细制定保证工程质量和生产安全的技术措施。 (2)雨期施工前,应对场地平整时所建立的排水系统进行检查、疏浚或者予以加固。 (3)雨期施工前,要在基底边线以外修建排水沟、排水井,以保证基坑的雨水尽快排出,抽水泵应运到抽水目标,为了防止抽水泵使用中发生意外,应当准备足够的备用抽水泵。 (4)雨期施工过程中,特别需要注意随时检查用电设备的工作状况,防止漏电伤人。2、冬期施工应注意的问题 必须指出,土方工程应当尽量避免在冬期进行,原因很简单,冬期施工不但费工、费时,还存在安全问题。如果不可避免地必须进行冬期施工时,应当注意以下的问题。 (1)建筑物基础部分的土方工程,应进行全面的技术、经济比较,选定经济合理的施工方法,并应保持连续不间断的施工,以防止已挖掘的土重新冻结。 (2)冬期开挖冻土时,应采取防止引起相邻建筑物地基或其他设施受冻的保温、防冻措施。 (3)冬期施工时,运输道路和施工现场应采取防滑和防火措施。 (4)在挖方上边弃置冻土时,其弃土堆坡脚至挖方边缘的距离应为常温下规定的距离加上弃土土堆的高度。 (5)对于开挖完成的基槽(坑)应采取防止基槽(坑)底受冻的措施,例如使用保温材料覆盖。[3] 4.3.1 公司关键绩效指标 关键成功因素对保证公司竞争力,提升持续发展能力至关重要。公司战略要顺利实施,首要就是经营管理中完成这几项指标。所以,这些指标的选取,首先考虑的应是与公司战略相关,集中公司的资源去实现公司战略;其次,要定量化,对于指标要有可衡量性,评价结果清晰;同时,还具有可获得性,指标容易获取,与公司现阶段的发展水平相匹配。可以使用价值树和鱼骨图工具分析和识别企业关键成功因素。通过前面对战略地图的分析,得到财务、客户、内部运营和学习发展维度的战略主题,如表 4.1 所示:

     十八、中方坚定支持阿方维护本国经济金融稳定所作努力。双方强调中国人民银行和阿根廷中央银行于2020年续签的本币互换协议为维护阿根廷金融稳定发挥了重要作用。双方将继续密切本币互换合作,鼓励双方在贸易和投资中更多使用本币结算,便利两国企业减少汇兑成本、降低汇率风险。双方还将为推动本币结算创造良好的政策环境,支持在阿人民币清算行发挥更大作用。中方愿与阿方和其他各方探讨转借特别提款权和扩大特别提款权使用的方案,以推动经济发展、维持财政稳定并促进双边贸易。

     至于中国对阿根廷的投资金额,外网有一些的报道,但是在中国网络上却很难查询到,我认为这可能就是给美国资本“下套”:美国资本从阿根廷撤资,必然要不计代价的抛售资产、兑换美元,想以此让阿根廷经济崩溃,然后等阿根廷经济崩溃后再去抄底。只要中国和阿根廷不公布具体的投资金额,那么美国资本就会非常崩溃,因为它们不知道有多少资金、会在什么时候介入。

     比如,阿根廷的央行里只有400亿美元的外汇储备,现在美国资本不断变卖资产,然后去兑换美元,阿根廷央行里的美元储备急剧减少,只剩200亿美元了。如果美国资本再让阿根廷央行里面的美元减少100亿,那么阿根廷就可能坚持不住了,没有足够的美元到国际上购买生产生活必需的商品了。这个时候,美国资本为了搞垮阿根廷的经济,必然会不计代价的以极低的价格把自己控制的企业和股票抛出去,然后去挤兑美元。如果在这个时候,中国拿着大量资金低价收购美国资本抛售的那些企业,美国资本就会发现:无论是卖了多少资产、无论它怎么兑换美元,阿根廷始终有着兑不完的美元……最终自己的资产全部被贱卖了,还没有搞垮阿根廷的经济,白白便宜了中国和阿根廷(中国和阿根廷采取合资模式)。

     最关键的是:美国资本已经没有办法回头了,因为美国资本这个计划已经实施近两年了,开弓没有回头箭了!

     我们来看看几个数据:

     第一,在2020年前,阿根廷的外汇储备还有600亿美元左右,这两年已经降至400亿美元了,这说明美国资本在不断的撤出阿根廷。

    

     第二,阿根廷比索快速贬值,这也说明美国资本在不计代价的兑换阿根廷的美元储备——以前,美国资本卖掉公司或股票,拿20比索就能兑换1美元,现在要拿100比索才能兑换1美元,你说美国资本的损失有多大。

    

     美国资本已经没有退路了,现在退出,它的损失将会异常严重!

     现在摆在美国资本面前的只有一条路:继续不计代价的抛售阿根廷的资产和股票,继续不计代价的抛售比索,必须要让阿根廷的金融和经济崩溃!

     如果美国资本不能搞垮阿根廷的金融和经济,那么美国资本将会血本无归!

     而恰恰在这个关键的时候,中国来了,你说美国资本会不会崩溃啊?

     如果美国资本就此停止,那么前面的巨大损失就再也收不回来了;如果继续,那么后面不确定因素太大了,很可能陷入“无底洞”中了,损失可能会更大……

     今天中国股市出现大幅度的震荡,可能来源于一则信息:美商务部将33家中国实体纳入“未经核实名单”。

    

     美国为什么要这么做?

     我认为极有可能就是:在奥运期间,众多国家的领导人访问中国,签订一系列的协议,包括与俄罗斯、阿根廷和巴基斯坦等国,已经严重干扰到美国资本洗劫相关国家的计划,这是美国对中国的一次严重警告,要中国不要救那些国家!

     中国会屈服吗?

     很显然是不可能的!

     第一,中国这么做是符合自己利益的,是符合相关国家利益的,是正义的;

     第二,中国也不害怕美国的任何打压。特朗普时期那么打压中国,能打的大牌基本都被它打光了,也没能让中国屈服,现在拜登手里的这点牌根本不算牌!

     所以,中国不可能向美国屈服的。

     在中国的干预下,美国经济殖民南美洲的计划必然要破产!

     昨天《参考消息》就发布一则《美国在拉美遭到空前孤立》的新闻,里面有这么一段话:

     美国在拉美的趋势是越来越被孤立,得到的支持越来越少,与其敌对的政府越来越多……墨西哥、哥伦比亚和智利成为美国在拉美的特权政府,委内瑞拉、巴西、阿根廷、乌拉圭、玻利维亚和厄瓜多尔则成为美国的对立面……

     逐步地,美国正在失去在拉美最重要的“关系户”。首先是墨西哥的洛佩斯·奥夫拉多尔的胜选,随后是智利的加夫列尔·博里奇的胜选,最后是哥伦比亚大选中左翼候选人彼得罗非常现实的胜选可能性。巴西的博索纳罗可能的败选和卢拉的胜选将进一步巩固这一趋势。

     在支持美国的阵营势力减弱的同时,反对美国的力量正在加强……

    

     与美国利用金融、经济、政治等手段的经济殖民拉美不同,中国更加强调“合作共赢”。

     我相信,随着中国的不断强大,世界正义必将得到维护,美国资本为所欲为的时代即将成为历史!

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