如果俄罗斯输了，我们未来会面临什么样的命运？
2022/3/5 22:27:00 卢氏杂谈
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居安思危唇亡齿寒从中国人的地缘政治角度我们期待俄乌冲突怎样一个结局？
围棋界有这样一句话：
“善弈者，通盘无妙手。”
什么意思呢？一个会下棋的人，往往一整盘棋是看不到那种一招致死，或力挽狂澜的绝招。因为他早已全盘布局、运筹帷幄。
俄乌冲突犹如一盘大棋，执棋人分别是俄罗斯和美国，而乌克兰、北约、欧盟仅仅是这盘棋上的棋子。
俄乌冲突发展到今天，情形可能超出了所有人的预料，包括普京本人。乌克兰问题没有解决，反而促成了西方的合力围剿，本来内部分裂的欧盟，此时却硬是铁板一块。
21世纪的战争，已经不单单是武器战那么简单，信息战和舆论战都会影响到这盘棋最后的输赢。
这不是阴谋，而是阳谋。
如果一个人没有病，所有人都说他有病，那他到底是有没有病？俄罗斯面临的就是这个情况。
CNN、BBC、路透社、法新社这些国际媒体就是“太医院”，他们站到了普京的对立面，利用舆论声讨俄罗斯“有病”，呼吁企业开除俄罗斯籍员工。
截止3月2日，跨国科技巨头和企业纷纷下场制裁俄罗斯，他们声称自己是“道德卫士”，站在了弱势的乌克兰一方。
别留念昨天了，把握好今天吧。(Will Rogers) 170. If you are not brave enough, no one will back you up. 你不勇敢，没人替你坚强。171. If you don't build your dream, someone will hire you to build theirs. 如果你没有梦想，那么你只能为别人的梦想打工。172. Beauty is all around, if you just open your heart to see. 只要你给自己机会，你会发现你的世界可以很美丽。173. The difference in winning and losing is most often...not quitting. 赢与输的差别通常是--不放弃。(华特·迪士尼) 174. I am ordinary yet unique. 我很平凡，但我独一无二。175. I like people who make me laugh in spite of myself. 我喜欢那些让我笑起来的人，就算是我不想笑的时候。176. Image a new story for your life and start living it. 为你的生命想一个全新剧本，并去倾情出演吧!177. I'd rather be a happy fool than a sad sage. 做个悲伤的智者，不如做个开心的傻子。178. The future belongs to those who believe in the beauty of their dreams. 未来属于那些相信梦想之美的人。(埃莉诺·罗斯福) 179. Even if you get no applause, you should accept a curtain call gracefully and appreciate your own efforts. 即使没有人为你鼓掌，也要优雅的谢幕，感谢自己的认真付出。180. Don't let dream just be your dream. 别让梦想只停留在梦里。181. A day without laughter is a day wasted. 没有笑声的一天是浪费了的一天。(卓别林) 182. Travel and see the world; afterwards, you will be able to put your concerns in perspective. 去旅行吧，见的世面多了，你会发现原来在意的那些结根本算不了什么。183. The key to acquiring proficiency in any task is repetition. 任何事情成功关键都是熟能生巧。《生活大爆炸》 184. You can be happy no matter what. 开心一点吧，管它会怎样。185. A good plan today is better than a perfect plan tomorrow. 今天的好计划胜过明天的完美计划。186. Nothing is impossible, the word itself says 'I'm possible'! 一切皆有可能!“不可能”的意思是：“不，可能。”(奥黛丽·赫本) 187. Life isn't fair, but no matter your circumstances, you have to give it your all. 生活是不公平的，不管你的境遇如何，你只能全力以赴。188. No matter how hard it is, just keep going because you only fail when you give up. 无论多么艰难，都要继续前进，因为只有你放弃的那一刻，你才输了。 When Paul Jobs was mustered out of the Coast Guard after World War II, he made a wager with his crewmates. They had arrived in San Francisco, where their ship was decommissioned, and Paul bet that he would find himself a wife within two weeks. He was a taut, tattooed engine mechanic, six feet tall, with a passing resemblance to James Dean. But it wasn’t his looks that got him a date with Clara Hagopian, a sweet-humored daughter of Armenian immigrants. It was the fact that he and his friends had a car, unlike the group she had originally planned to go out with that evening. Ten days later, in March 1946, Paul got engaged to Clara and won his wager. It would turn out to be a happy marriage, one that lasted until death parted them more than forty years later. Paul Reinhold Jobs had been raised on a dairy farm in Germantown, Wisconsin. Even though his father was an alcoholic and sometimes abusive, Paul ended up with a gentle and calm disposition under his leathery exterior. After dropping out of high school, he wandered through the Midwest picking up work as a mechanic until, at age nineteen, he joined the Coast Guard, even though he didn’t know how to swim. He was deployed on the USS General M. C. Meigs and spent much of the war ferrying troops to Italy for General Patton. His talent as a machinist and fireman earned him commendations, but he occasionally found himself in minor trouble and never rose above the rank of seaman. Clara was born in New Jersey, where her parents had landed after fleeing the Turks in Armenia, and they moved to the Mission District of San Francisco when she was a child. She had a secret that she rarely mentioned to anyone: She had been married before, but her husband had been killed in the war. So when she met Paul Jobs on that first date, she was primed to start a new life. Clara, however, loved San Francisco, and in 1952 she convinced her husband to move back there. They got an apartment in the Sunset District facing the Pacific, just south of Golden Gate Park, and he took a job working for a finance company as a “repo man,” picking the locks of cars whose owners hadn’t paid their loans and repossessing them. He also bought, repaired, and sold some of the cars, making a decent enough living in the process. There was, however, something missing in their lives. They wanted children, but Clara had suffered an ectopic pregnancy, in which the fertilized egg was implanted in a fallopian tube rather than the uterus, and she had been unable to have any. So by 1955, after nine years of marriage, they were looking to adopt a child. Like Paul Jobs, Joanne Schieble was from a rural Wisconsin family of German heritage. Her father, Arthur Schieble, had immigrated to the outskirts of Green Bay, where he and his wife owned a mink farm and dabbled successfully in various other businesses, including real estate and photoengraving. He was very strict, especially regarding his daughter’s relationships, and he had strongly disapproved of her first love, an artist who was not a Catholic. Thus it was no surprise that he threatened to cut Joanne off completely when, as a graduate student at the University of Wisconsin, she fell in love with Abdulfattah “John” Jandali, a Muslim teaching assistant from Syria. Jandali was the youngest of nine children in a prominent Syrian family. His father owned oil refineries and multiple other businesses, with large holdings in Damascus and Homs, and at one point pretty much controlled the price of wheat in the region. His mothe凝固的熔岩流。火星上常常有猛烈的大风，大风扬起沙尘能形成可以覆盖火星全球的特大型沙尘暴。每次沙尘暴可持续数个星期。火星两极的冰冠和火星大气中含有水份。从火星表面获得的探测数据证明，在远古时期，火星曾经有过液态的水，而且水量特别大。[51] 土星是离太阳第六颗行星，直径120536㎞，体积仅次于木星。主要由氢组成，还有少量的氦与微量元素，内部的核心包括岩石和冰，外围由数层金属氢和气体包裹着。地球距离土星13亿公里。土星的引力比地球强2.5倍，能够牵引太阳系内其它行星，使地球处于一个椭圆轨道中运行，并且与太阳保持适当距离，适宜生命繁衍。当土星轨道倾斜20度将使地球轨道比金星轨道更接近太阳，同时，这将导致火星完全离开太阳系。[52] 土星是已知唯一密度小于水的行星，假如能够将土星放入一个巨大的浴池之中，它将可以漂浮起来。土星有一个巨大的磁气圈和一个狂风肆虐的大气层，赤道附近的风速可达1800千米/时。在环绕土星运行的31颗卫星中间，土卫六是最大的一颗，比水星和月球还大，也是太阳系中唯一拥有浓厚大气层的卫星。[53] 天王星是离太阳第七颗行星，51118km。体积约为地球的65倍，在九大行星中仅次于木星和土星。天王星的大气层中83%是氢，15%为氦，2%为甲烷以及少量的乙炔和碳氢化合物。上层大气层的甲烷吸收红光，使天王星呈现蓝绿色。大气在固定纬度集结成云层，类似于木星和土星在纬线上鲜艳的条状色带。天王星云层的平均温度为零下193摄氏度。质量为8.6810±13×102?kg，相当于地球质量的14.63倍。密度较小，只有1.24克/立方厘米，为海王星密度值的74.7%。[54] 恒星 恒星 海王星是离太阳的第八颗行星，直径49532千米。海王星绕太阳运转的轨道半径为45亿千米，公转一周需要165年。海王星的直径和天王星类似，质量比天王星略大一些。海王星和天王星的主要大气成分都是氢和氦，内部结构也极为相近，所以说海王星与天王星是一对孪生兄弟。[55] 海王星有太阳系最强烈的风，测量到的时速高达2100公里。海王星云顶的温度是-218 °C，是太阳系最冷的地区之一。海王星核心的温度约为7000 °C，可以和太阳的表面比较。海王星在1846年9月23日被发现，是唯一利用数学预测而非有计划的观测发现的行星。[56] 冥王星，位于海王星以外的柯伊伯带内侧，是柯伊伯带中已知的最大天体。[57] 直径约为2370±20km，是地球直径的18.5%。[58] 2006年8月24日，国际天文学联合会大会24日投票决定，不再将传统九大行星之一的冥王星视为行星，而将其列入“矮行星”。大会通过的决议规定，“行星”指的是围绕太阳运转、自身引力足以克服其刚体力而使天体呈圆球状、能够清除其轨道附近其他物体的天体。在太阳系传统的“九大行星”中，只有水星、金星、地球、火星、木星、土星、天王星和海王星符合这些要求。冥王星由于其轨道与海王星的轨道相交，不符合新的行星定义，因此被自动降级为“矮行星”。[59] 冥王星的表面温度大概在-238到-228℃之间。冥王星的成份由70%岩石和30%冰水混合而成的。地表上光亮的部分可能覆盖着一些固体氮以及少量 卫星拍月球经过地球，可见清晰月球背面 卫星拍月球经过地球，可见清晰月球背面 [60] 的固体甲烷和一氧化碳，冥王星表面的黑暗部分可能是一些基本的有机物质或是由宇宙射线引发的光化学反应。冥王星的大气层主要由氮和少量的一氧化碳及甲烷组成。大气极其稀薄，地面压强只有少量微帕。[61] 地球是离太阳第三颗行星，是我们人类的家乡，尽管地球是太阳系中一颗普通的行星，但它在许多方面都是独一无二的。比如，它是太阳系中唯一一颗面积大部分被水覆盖的行星，也是目前所知唯一一颗有生命存在的星球。质量M=5.9742 ×10^24 公斤，表面温度：t = - 30 ～ +45。[62] 英国科研人员在《天体生物学》杂志上报告说，如果没有小行星撞击等可能剧烈改变环境的事件发生，地球适宜人类居住的时间还剩约17.5亿年，不过人为造成的气候变化可能缩短这一时间。[63] 彗星是由灰尘和冰块组成的太阳系中的一类小天体，绕日运动。[64] 科学家使用探测器对彗星的化学遗留物进行分析，发现其主要成份为氨、甲烷、硫化氢、氰化氢和甲醛。科学家得出结论称，彗星的气味闻起来像是臭鸡蛋、马尿、酒精和苦杏仁的气味综合。[65-66] “67P/楚留莫夫-格拉希门克”彗星 “67P/楚留莫夫-格拉希门克”彗星 [67] 在太阳系的周围还包裹着一个庞大的“奥尔特云”。星云内分布着不计其数的冰块、雪团和碎石。其中的某些会受太阳引力影响飞入内太阳系，这学说，在原有的轨道(或称小天体轨道)上又增加了更多的天体运行轨道。这一模式称每颗行星都沿着一个小轨道作圆周运行，而小轨道又沿着该行星的大轨道绕地球作圆周运动。几百年之后，这一模式的漏洞越来越明显。科学家们又在这个模式上增加了许多轨道，行星就这样沿着一道又一道的轨道作圆周运动。哥白尼想用“现代”(16世纪的)技术来改进托勒密的测量结果，以期取消一些小轨道。在长达近20年的时间里，哥白尼不辞辛劳日夜测量行星的位置，但其测量获得的结果仍然与托勒密的天体运行模式没有多少差别。哥白尼想知道在另一个运行着的行星上观察这些行星的运行情况会是什么样的。基于这种设想，哥白尼萌发了一个念头：假如地球在运行中，那么这些行星的运行看上去会是什么情况呢？这一设想在他脑海里变得清晰起来了。一年里，哥白尼在不同的时间、不同的距离从地球上观察行星，每一个行星的情况都不相同，这是他意识到地球不可能位于星星轨道的中心。经过20年的观测，哥白尼发现唯独太阳的周年变化不明显。这意味着地球和太阳的距离始终没有改变。如果地球不是宇宙的中心，那么宇宙的中心就是太阳。的发现才使牛顿有能力确定运动定律和万有引力定律。哥白尼的日心宇宙体系既然是时代的产物，它就不能不受到时代的限制。反对神学的不彻底性，同时表现在哥白尼的某些观点上，他的体系是存在缺陷的。哥白尼所指的宇宙是局限在一个小的范围内的，具体来说，他的宇宙结构就是今天我们所熟知的太阳系，即以太阳为中心的天体系统。宇宙既然有它的中心，就必须有它的边界，哥白尼虽然否定了托勒玫的“九重天”，但他却保留了一层恒星天，尽管他回避了宇宙是否有限这个问题，但实际上他是相信恒星天球是宇宙的“外壳”，他仍然相信天体只能按照所谓完美的圆形轨道运动，所以哥白尼的宇宙体系，仍然包含着不动的中心天体。但是作为近代自然科学的奠基人，哥白尼的历史功绩是伟大的。确认地球不是宇宙的中心，而是行星之一，从而掀起了一场天文学上根本性的革命，是人类探求客观真理道路上的里程碑。哥白尼的伟大成就，不仅铺平了通向近代天文学的道路，而且开创了整个自然界科学向前迈进的新时代。从哥白尼时代起，脱离教会束缚的自然科学和哲学开始获得飞跃的发展。哥白尼的科学成就，是他所处时代的产物，又转过来推动了时代的发展。顺应时代变化 十五、六世纪的欧洲，正是从封建社会向资本主义社会转变的关键时期，在这一二百年间，社会发生了巨大的变化。14世纪ndali soon after. She held out hope, she would later tell family members, sometimes tearing up at the memory, that once they were married, she could get their 别让梦想只停留在梦里。181. A day without laughter is a day wasted. 没有笑声的一天是浪费了的一天。(卓别林) 182. Travel and see the world; afterwards, you will be able to put your concerns in perspective. 去旅行吧，见的世面多了，你会发现原来在意的那些结根本算不了什么。183. The key to acquiring proficiency in any task is repetition. 任何事情成功关键都是熟能生巧。《生活大爆炸》 184. You can be happy no matter what. 开心一点吧，管它会怎样。baby boy back. Arthur Schieble died in August 1955, after the adoption was finalized. Just after Christmas that year, Joanne and Abdulfattah were married in St. Philip the Apostle Catholic Church in Green Bay. He got his PhD in international politics the next year, and then they had another child, a girl named Mona. After she and Jandali divorced in 1962, Joanne embarked on a dreamy and peripatetic life that her daughter, who grew up to become the acclaimed novelist Mona Simpson, would capture in her book Anywhere but Here. Because Steve’s adoption had been closed, it would be twenty years before they would all find each other. Steve Jobs knew from an early age that he was adopted. “My parents were very open with me about that,” he recalled. He had a vivid memory of sitting on the lawn of his house, when he was six or seven years old, telling the girl who lived across the street. “So does that mean your real parents didn’t want you?” the girl asked. “Lightning bolts went off in my head,” according to Jobs. “I remember running into the house, crying. And my parents said, ‘No, you have to understand.’ They were very serious and looked me straight in the eye. They said, ‘We specifically picked you out.’ Both of my parents said that and repeated it slowly for me. And they put an emphasis on every word in that sentence.” Abandoned. Chosen. Special. Those concepts became part of who Jobs was and how he regarded himself. His closest friends think that the knowledge that he was given up at birth left some scars. “I think his desire for complete control of whatever he makes derives directly from his personality and the fact that he was abandoned at birth,” said one longtime colleague, Del Yocam. “He wants to control his environment, and he sees the product as an extension of himself.” Greg Calhoun, who became close to Jobs right after college, saw another effect. “Steve talked to me a lot about being abandoned and the pain that caused,” he said. “It made him independent. He followed the beat of a different drummer, and that came from being in a different world than he was born into.” Later in life, when he was the same age his biological father had been when he abandoned him, Jobs would father and abandon a child of his own. (He eventually took responsibility for her.) Chrisann Brennan, the mother of that child, said that being put up for adoption left Jobs “full of broken glass,” and it helps to explain some of his behavior. “He who is abandoned is an abandoner,” she said. Andy Hertzfeld, who worked with Jobs at Apple in the early 1980s, is among the few who remained close to both Brennan and Jobs. “The key question about Steve is why he can’t control himself at times from being so reflexively cruel and harmful to some people,” he said. “That goes back to being abandoned at birth. The real underlying problem was the theme of abandonment in Steve’s life.” Jobs dismissed this. “There’s some notion that because I was abandoned, I worked very hard so I could do well and make my parents wish they had me back, or some such nonsense, but that’s ridiculous,” he insisted. “Knowing I was adopted may have made me feel more independent, but I have never felt abandoned. I’ve always felt special. My parents made me feel special.” He would later bristle whenever anyone referred to Paul and Clara Jobs as his “adoptive” parents or implied that they were not his “real” parents. “They were my parents 1,000%,” he said. When speaking about his biological parents, on the other hand, he was curt: “They were my sperm and egg bank. That’s not harsh, it’s just the way it was, a sperm bank thing, nothing more.” Silicon Valley The childhood that Paul and Clara Jobs created for their new son was, in many ways, a stereotype of the late 1950s. When Steve was two they adopted a girl they named Patty, and three years later they moved to a tract house in the suburbs. The finance company where Paul worked as a repo man, CIT, had transferred him down to its Palo Alto office, but he could not afford to live there, so they landed in a subdivision in Mountain View, a less expensive town just to the south. There Paul tried to pass along his love of mechanics and cars. “Steve, this is your workbench now,” he said as he marked off a section of the table in their garage. Jobs remembered being impressed by his father’s focus on craftsmanship. “I thought my dad’s sense of design was pretty good,” he said, “because he knew how to build anything. If we needed a cabinet, he would build it. When he built our fence, he gave me a hammer so I could work with him.” Fifty years later the fence still surrounds the back and side yards of the house in Mountain View. As Jobs showed it off to me, he caressed the stockade panels and recalled a lesson that his father implanted deeply in him. It was important, his father said, to craft the backs of cabinets and fences properly, even though they were hidden. “He loved doing things right. He even cared about the look of the parts you couldn’t see.” His father continued to refurbish and resell used cars, and he festooned the garage with pictures of his favorites. He would point out the detailing of the design to his son: the lines, the vents, the chrome, the trim of the seats. After work each day, he would change into his dungarees and retreat to the garage, often with Steve tagging along. “I figured I could get him nailed down with a little mechanical ability, but he really wasn’t interested in getting his hands dirty,” Paul later recalled. “He never really cared too much about m189. It requires hard work to give off an appearance of effortlessness. 你必须十分努力，才能看起来毫不费力。190. Life is like riding a bicycle.To keep your balance,you must keep moving. 人生就像骑单车，只有不断前进，才能保持平衡。(爱因斯坦) 191. Be thankful for what you have.You'll end up having more. 拥有一颗感恩的心，最终你会得到更多。192. Beauty is how you feel inside, and it reflects in your eyes. 美是一种内心的感觉，并反映在你的眼睛里。(索菲亚·罗兰) 193. Friendship doubles your joys, and divides your sorrows. 朋友的作用，就是让你快乐加倍，痛苦减半。194. When you long for something sincerely, the whole world will help you. 当你真心渴望某样东西时，整个宇宙都会来帮忙。echanical things.” “I wasn’t that into fixing cars,” Jobs admitted. “But I was eager to hang out with my dad.” Even as he was growing more aware that he had been adopted, he was becoming more attached to his father. One day when he was about eight, he discovered a photograph of his father from his time in the Coast Guard. “He’s in the engine room, and he’s got his shirt off and looks like James Dean. It was one of those Oh wow moments for a kid. Wow, oooh, my parents were actually once very young and really good-looking.” Through cars, his father gave Steve his first exposure to electronics. “My dad did not have a deep understanding of electronics, but he’d encountered it a lot in automobiles and other things he would fix. He showed me the rudiments of electronics, and I got very interested in that.” Even more interesting were the trips to scavenge for parts. “Every weekend, there’d be a junkyard trip. We’d be looking for a generator, a carburetor, all sorts of components.” He remembered watching his father negotiate at the counter. “He was a good bargainer, because he knew better than the guys at the counter what the parts should cost.” This helped fulfill the pledge his parents made when he was adopted. “My college fund came from my dad paying $50 for a Ford Falcon or some other beat-up car that didn’t run, working on it for a few weeks, and selling it for $250—and not telling the IRS.” The Jobses’ house and the others in their neighborhood were built by the real estate developer Joseph Eichler, whose company spawned more than eleven thousand homes in various California subdivisions between 1950 and 1974. Inspired by Frank Lloyd Wright’s vision of simple modern homes for the American “everyman,” Eichler built inexpensive houses that featured floor-to-ceiling glass walls, open floor plans, exposed post-and-beam construction, concrete slab floors, and lots of sliding glass doors. “Eichler did a great thing,” Jobs said on one of our walks around the neighborhood. “His houses were smart and cheap and good. They brought clean design and simple taste to lower-income people. They had awesome little features, like radiant heating in the floors. You put carpet on them, and we had nice toasty floors when we were kids.” Jobs said that his appreciation for Eichler homes instilled in him a passion for making nicely designed products for the mass market. “I love it when you can bring really great design and simple capability to something that doesn’t cost much,” he said as he pointed out the clean elegance of the houses. “It was the original vision for Apple. That’s what we tried to do with the first Mac. That’s what we did with the iPod.” Across the street from the Jobs family lived a man who had become successful as a real estate agent. “He wasn’t that bright,” Jobs recalled, “but he seemed to be making a fortune. So my dad thought, ‘I can do that.’ He worked so hard, I remember. He took these night classes, passed the license test, and got into real estate. Then the bottom fell out of the market.” As a result, the family found itself financially strapped for a year or so while Steve was in elementary school. His mother took a job as a bookkeeper for Varian Associates, a company that made scientific instruments, and they took out a second mortgage. One day his fourth-grade teacher asked him, “What is it you don’t understand about the universe?” Jobs replied, “I don’t understand why all of a sudden my dad is so broke.” He was proud that his father never adopted a servile attitude or slick style that may have made him a better salesman. “You had to suck up to people to sell real estate, and he wasn’t good at that and it wasn’t in his nature. I admired him for that.” Paul Jobs went back to being a mechanic. His father was calm and gentle, traits that his son later praised more than emulated. He was also resolute. Jobs described one exampl What made the neighborhood different from the thousands of other spindly-tree subdivisions across America was that even the ne’er-do-wells tended to be engineers. “When we moved here, there were apricot and plum orchards on all of these corners,” Jobs recalled. “But it was beginning to boom because of military investment.” He soaked up the history of the valley and developed a yearning to play his own role. Edwin Land of Polaroid later told him about being asked by Eisenhower to help build the U-2 spy plane cameras to see how real the Soviet threat was. The film was dropped in canisters and returned to the NASA Ames Research Center in Sunnyvale, not far from where Jobs lived. “The first computer terminal I ever saw was when my dad brought me to the Ames Center,” he said. “I fell totally in love with it.” Other defense contractors sprouted nearby during the 1950s. The Lockheed Missiles and Space Division, which built submarine-launched ballistic missiles, was founded in 1956 next to the NASA Center; by the time Jobs moved to the area four years later, it employed twenty thousand people. A few hundred yards away, Westinghouse built facilities that produced tubes and electrical transformers for the missile systems. “You had all these military companies on the cutting edge,” he recalled. “It was mysterious and high-tech and made living here very exciting.” In the wake of the defense industries there arose a booming economy based on technology. Its roots stretched back to 1938, when David Packard and his new wife moved into a house in Palo Alto that had a shed where his friend Bill Hewlett was soon ensconced. The house had a garage—an appendage that would prove both useful and iconic in the valley—in which they tinkered around until they had their first product, an audio oscillator. By the 1950s, Hewlett-Packard was a fast-growing company making technical instruments. Fortunately there was a place nearby for entrepreneurs who had outgrown their garages. In a move that would help transform the area into the cradle of the tech revolution, Stanford University’s dean of engineering, Frederick Terman, created a seven-hundred-acre industrial park on university land for private companies that could commercialize the ideas of his students. Its first tenant was Varian Associates, where Clara Jobs worked. “Terman came up with this great idea that did more than anything to cause the tech industry to grow up here,” Jobs said. By the time Jobs was ten, HP had nine thousand employees and was the blue-chip company where every engineer seeking financial stability wanted to work. The most important technology for the region’s growth was, of course, the semiconductor. William Shockley, who had been one of the inventors of the transistor at Bell Labs in New Jersey, moved out to Mountain View and, in 1956, started a company to build transistors using silicon rather than the more expensive germanium that was then commonly used. But Shockley became increasingly erratic and abandoned his silicon transistor project, which led eight of his engineers—most notably Robert Noyce and Gordon Moore—to break away to form Fairchild Semiconductor. That company grew to twelve thousand employees, but it fragmented in 1968, when Noyce lost a power struggle to become CEO. He took Gordon Moore and founded a company that they called Integrated Electronics Corporation, which they soon smartly abbreviated to Intel. Their third employee was Andrew Grove, who later would grow the company by shifting its focus from memory chips to microprocessors. Within a few years there would be more than fifty companies in the area making semiconductors. The exponential growth of this industry was correlated with the phenomenon famously discovered by Moore, who in 1965 drew a graph of the speed of integrated circuits, based on the number of transistors that could be placed on a chip, and showed that it doubled about every two years, a trajectory that could be expected to continue. This was reaffirmed in 1971, when Intel was able to etch a complete central processing unit onto one chip, the Intel 4004, tronic amplifier. “So I raced home, and I told my dad that he was wrong.” “No, it needs an amplifier,” his father assured him. When Steve protested otherwise, his father said he was crazy. “It can’t work without an amplifier. There’s some trick.” “I kept saying no to my dad, telling him he had to see it, and finally he actually walked down with me and saw it. And he said, ‘Well I’ll be a bat out of hell.’” Jobs recalled the incident vividly because it was his first realization that his father did not know everything. Then a more disconcerting discovery began to dawn on him: He was smarter than his parents. He had always admired his father’s competence and savvy. “He was not an educated man, but I had always thought he was pretty damn smart. He didn’t read much, but he could do a lot. Almost everything mechanical, he could figure it out.” Yet the carbon microphone incident, Jobs said, began a jarring process of realizing that he was in fact more clever and quick than his parents. “It was a very big moment that’s burned into my mind. When I realized that I was smarter than my parents, I felt tremendous shame for having thought that. I will never forget that moment.” This discovery, he later told friends, along with the fact that he was adopted, made him feel apart—detached and separate—from both his family and the world. Another layer of awareness occurred soon after. Not only did he discover that he was brighter than his parents, but he discovered that they knew this. Paul and Clara Jobs were loving parents, and they were willing to adapt their lives to suit a son who was very smart—and also willful. They would go to great lengths to accommodate him. And soon Steve discovered this fact as well. “Both my parents got me. They felt a lot of responsibility once they sensed that I was special. They found ways to keep feeding me stuff and putting me in better schools. They were willing to defer to my needs.” So he grew up not only with a sense of having once been abandoned, but also with a sense that he was special. In his own mind, that was more important in the formation of his personality. School Even before Jobs started elementary school, his mother had taught him how to read. This, however, led to some problems once he got to school. “I was kind of bored for the first few years
这份长长的名单还在不断扩大，美国极力营造出“得道多助，失道寡助”的现象。
如果有一天，中国想要实现祖国统一，上面长长的清单会不会调转矛头指向中国？西方媒体会不会炮轰中国？
俄乌之战，没有人是旁观者。
如果俄罗斯输了这场战争，绝不会像是美国在阿富汗战场烧掉2.3万亿美元那么简单，世界格局都将发生改变，中国也无法真正的“中立”。
就在昨天，环球网刊发文章《舆论场须以国家立场作底色》
在讨论俄乌冲突局势的时候，我们要从中国自己的地缘政治立场入手。
在冲突爆发的第一天，国际舆论已经给俄罗斯下了判断，无论中文互联网上你我秉持的态度如何，俄罗斯都被扣上侵略者的头衔。
但也有人表示并不认可，为什么俄乌之争就被说成是侵略，美国空袭索马里、以色列空袭叙利亚，为什么这些都不是“侵略”？
首先，美军空袭索马里得到了索马里联邦政府授权，并且是在索马里联邦政府协调下进行的。
本次行动的目标是，索马里青年党，一个极端恐怖主义组织，号称效忠“基地”组织并接受其领导。
所以美军的军事行为是“反恐”而不是“侵略”。
如果普京受乌克兰总统泽连斯基委托，派兵镇压其国的新纳粹势力，俄军可以名正言顺地进入乌克兰境内，这就不是“侵略”。
说这些并不是来为美国和北约辩护，相反我们一定要认清什么才算是“侵略”，因为一旦被扣上“侵略战争发起者”的帽子，国际舆论一定会倒戈，俄罗斯就是典型的例子。
美国就没有发动“侵略战争”吗？
当然有，而且有明显违背联合国宪章的战争行为——
入侵古巴、格林纳达、伊拉克、阿富汗等等都是事实确凿的侵略行为。
我国外交部在1月28日，谴责过美国侵略行为的正确说法是：
美国在叙利亚的战争罪行只是其在世界各地穷兵黩武的冰山一角。在伊拉克，美军非法入侵不仅造成成千上万平民死伤，而且留下了约2500万枚地雷和其他爆炸遗留物。在阿富汗，美军造成的平民死伤超过10万人，还导致鸦片等毒品生产野蛮滋长。美国布朗大学开展的调查显示，过去20年，美国在全球85个国家和地区开展“反恐”行动，导致89.7万到92.9万人直接死于战争暴力，超过3800万人成为难民或流离失所。
美国绕开联合国对伊拉克发动军事进攻，为什么国际舆论没有像今天抛弃俄罗斯一样抛弃美国？
1991年，美国发动海湾战争，联合国投票表决，英法美不用说抱团赞成，苏联剩下了半条命，只能同意，中国弃权。
这场战争在法理上，是通过了的。
但是2003年，美国想要发动伊拉克战争。
鲍威尔拿了一个洗衣液一样的东西就说“伊拉克存在大规模杀伤性武器”，北约盟友都反对，中俄两国更不用说。
但美国还是绕开了联合国悍然发动战争，时任联合国秘书长安南赴伊拉克亲见萨达姆，斡旋。
有用吗？
可是联合国并非“国上之国”，只能协调无法拿出任何实际的制裁，世界大国有人联合起来去制裁美国发动“侵略”吗？
有人有办法冻结美国的银行？有人可以不给美国提供军火？有人能将美国人从本国驱逐？有人能关掉所有的麦当劳？
大家想想看，国与国的实力就是话语权。
用很长的篇幅论述什么是“侵略”旨在表明一件事儿——
小孩子才分对错，成年人只看利益。
去年11月，乌克兰申请加入北约。俄罗斯再次向美国和北约发起“安全保障倡议”，希望北约放弃东扩。注意，这里用的是倡议，在国家利益面前硬汉总统选择了委曲求全。
但乌克兰在美国的挑唆下，甘作诱饵，悍然违反明斯克协议，公开放言说要加入北约，不断挑战俄乌此前划定的不加入北约的红线。
普京的万字演讲已经表明了乌克兰的历史以及为什么发动这场战争。
乌克兰一旦加入北约就大大加强了北约在黑海高加索地区的势力，俄罗斯面临的可能是二次解体。
从2014年开始，西方不允许俄罗斯吞并克里米亚，于是发动了经济制裁。德、法、意在制裁中损失15%GDP，俄国损失至少40%GDP，直到今年才恢复到2014年GDP80%的水平。
经济绞杀如此厉害，俄罗斯只能忍气吞声。
无论是否是正义之战，对俄罗斯来说这已经是自保的最优选项。
所以，当有一天中国要通过武力才能实现统一的时候，请大家一定要清楚，战争并不是法条那样简单，它是一场综合国力的较量。
我们不想成为刀俎，但别人却想让我们成为鱼肉。
另一方面，西方现在将泽连斯基抬上了神坛，俨然成为一位“亲美”的无辜受害者，舆论也站到了泽连斯基和乌克兰这一边。
在刚刚结束的拜登政府国情咨文上，乌克兰驻美大使马尔卡洛娃作为座上宾被拜登邀请列席。
泽连斯基也非常配合，冒着风险邀请CNN等媒体来到他躲藏的地下办公地点接受采访。
没有刮胡子，尽显疲态的泽连斯基
当记者问他，你希望拜登的国情咨文能对俄罗斯传递什么信息时，泽连斯基说：“太多了!”这包括必须停火，否则俄乌谈判不会取得进展。那现在的俄乌谈判是不是浪费时间呢？
泽连斯基说：“我们拭目以待吧。”
俄乌之战很快会演变成一场针对西方世界普通人的“洗脑战”，借由战争之恶来提升个人的人性之善，利用这种善来达到巩固国家机器的地步。
为什么这么说呢？
时至今日，你看看CNN、BBC、路透社的报道，有多少是关于乌克兰的负面，俄罗斯的正面？没有。
对于战争的想象，距离几千公里外的美国白人想到只会是俄罗斯士兵残忍的杀害乌克兰人。但他们不会想到，战争是如何爆发的？
因为CNN根本没告诉他们。
facebook和Twitter已经封锁了俄罗斯新闻，关于俄罗斯想要传递到西方世界的一切消息都被当成了“假新闻”，也包括俄罗斯的控诉。
但是，西方媒体并不是铁板，法国记者冒天下之大不韪曝光了乌克兰对顿巴斯长达8年的战争。
乌克兰在乌东实行八年的军事打击，让这里的普通人每天都在承受炮火和泪水，这部纪录片长达40分钟。
图源：网络
但是你看到CNN的报道了吗？乌东的真相难道就不是真相了吗？
更可笑的是，这位法国记者的Twitter账号被封，她不会被颁发普利策，她被西方媒体所排斥。
这就是乌克兰过去8年所发生的事情，爱好和平的泽连斯基有没有为这些冤魂祈福呢？
乌克兰没有政治家，只有表演家。泽连斯基擅长表演，并把这种表演融入到了自己的人生中。
他还同意美方在乌克兰设置十余所生物实验室，准备通过加入北约把乌克兰变为对付俄罗斯的战争前沿。
北约不傻，他们不会同意普京加入北约的请求，如果世界上所有的国家都是北约了，北约存在的意义也就没有了。
没有敌人就不需要保护。
俄罗斯注定要成为北约的敌人，一旦俄罗斯被肢解，北约的威胁不在，你说他下一个对象会是谁？
金融圈、科技战、舆论战、信息战、网络战、电子战、经济战、贸易战、资源控制战、武器热战等.....
俄乌之战爆发，给我们上了一堂惊心动魄的课。
现代化战争到底是什么样？
如果有一天我们在统一的时候面临俄罗斯一样的处境，我们会怎么办？
美国冻结境内俄罗斯的所有财产，这笔钱据说可以购买30辆航母，而且美国境内的俄罗斯银行也被关闭，欧盟想要关闭俄罗斯的SWIFT。
除此之外，科技上的封锁也非常严重，AMD、Intel、台积电、格芯、苹果电脑、戴尔、半导体设备、爱立信全都禁止对俄罗斯销售其产品，这几乎让俄罗斯只能使用民族品牌。
对中国而言，科技封锁我们已经见识过了，但没有见识过这么大规模的封锁，实现芯片自主已经不是一个可有可无的选项了。
接下里看一下信息战。
希拉里呼吁全美黑客对俄罗斯网络进行攻击，世界最大的黑客组织宣布参战，一上来就把俄罗斯的大外宣网站给干掉了。
美国总统国务卿决定对俄打信息战，还加大力度在俄罗斯政界招募间谍。
所以这就解释了为什么前阵子中国要调查某科技公司？
假设现在M国要打我们，他们提前掌握了某公司的所有数据，包括道路数据、人流等等。通过舆情监控，进行数据更新，哪个地方修路了，什么路段拥堵，什么地方人多，什么地方有异常人口流动。
他们一清二楚，战争结局几乎可以预测。
还有运输业。
联邦快递、UPS、美国航空公司、欧盟、加拿大全都对俄罗斯禁运。
制裁的范围不断扩大......从体育到宠物，西方世界就要营造出一种俄罗斯已经被全球孤立的形象。
有人会说，大国之间不会发生战争，因为现在都是核武器时代，一旦发动战争，核武器将会毁灭地球。
事实真的是这样吗？
近10年内，核武器的打击程度已经发生了翻天覆地的变化，早已经不是广岛和长崎那两颗原子弹所能比拟的。
毁灭性确实重要，但能控制核武器的毁灭性和打击范围，实现精准打击就更加牛逼了。
知乎上，有个回答：现代核武器能干净到什么程度？
拿美军高精度的小当量核航弹B-61来说，当量300吨TNT，精度15米左右，可以将摧毁20个DF-5导弹井的中方人员伤亡降低至700人左右。
通过避免触地爆，而采用离地面30米左右的近地爆，这次核打击将不会产生任何放射性落尘。
这就是美国著名的“有限核打击计划”。
为了说服敌人终止冲突，又不诉诸于大规模核对射，美国需要更克制、更严格限制打击边界的核方案，达成更有限的目标。
这种类型的、打击固定目标的核方案，称为“有限核打击计划Limited Nuclear Options”。
所以，不要天真地认为，核战争真的不会爆发，无限核打击的时代早已过去，核战略这个词也不是纸上谈兵。
值得一提的是，目前五大常任理事国没有一个承诺“不在自己领土上使用核武器”的，包括中国，最多仅仅是承诺“不进行核试验”。
在真正的战争中，不管是不是遭受了核袭击，在自己的国土上使用核武器都没有任何限制。
如果俄罗斯输掉这场战争对中国有什么影响？
北约的力量会进一步增强，甚至整个俄罗斯都有二次解体的可能，我们和俄罗斯签订的能源协议可能就此作罢，产生新一轮能源危机也犹未可知。
没有了俄罗斯在北方对北约的制衡，我们将面临南北夹击，腹背受敌。
如果俄罗斯赢了，改变的只是东欧地缘格局。
如果输了，改变的就将是整个世界格局。
中国将会失去战略缓冲，台湾问题也可能会无限延长，在长时间内无解决。
热爱和平反对战争本身没有问题，但并不是所有人都给你热爱和平的机会。
俄乌战争，中国人站的立场不应该是乌克兰的立场，也不应该是俄罗斯的立场，应该是中国人的立场。
我们这一代人，正在见证历史。
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昨日精选太突然!俄罗斯，栽了？？？
这是我见过分析俄乌局势最透彻的雄文!(深度好文)
普京热泪满面：要不是走投无路，谁会来当这个总统啊!
请记住这份制裁名单，俄罗斯给我们上了惊心动魄的一堂课??
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